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    Category: Howard Katz

    Oct
    26
    Comments Off

    Gold is now safely above the $1,000 mark, and there are two aspects to this, one good, one bad. The good aspect is that $1,000 is now a floor (whereas from March 2008 to Sept. 2009 it acted as a ceiling). The bad aspect is that we are now vulnerable t to a pull back to $1,000., and we need to be on guard for this possibility.

    Oct
    20

    This question underlines one important fact of the markets. Playing any market does not consist of just one or two decisions. It consists of a new decision every day.

    Oct
    12
    Comments Off

    To be completely honest, it is not me who is the greatest. Of course, it is Mohammed Ali who is the greatest. And I may not even be the greatest economist. That honor has to be shared with those few gold bugs who foresaw the break above $1,000 and who kept their subscribers long gold and gold stocks.

    Oct
    5

    Today I want to use the idea of unemployment to explain many of the hopelessly confused ideas of modern economics. We stand near the beginning of a new century, and it is my hope that the ideas of the 21st will not repeat the terrible tragedies of the 20th.

    Sep
    28

    All the scaredy-cats are trembling in their shoes this week as gold dipped below the $1,000 level. Foolish people. Can’t they see that the U.S. dollar is in free fall?

    Sep
    21

    Well, here we are with the price of gold above $1,000. Since this is the day so many thought would never come, it is time for reflection. I have lived my life in a society in which most of the “experts” have been wrong over and over.

    Sep
    14
    Comments Off

    A picture is indeed worth a thousand words. And the picture above is worth a lot more than that – if you understand it and know how to interpret it. Sadly, there are many people who do not understand this important technique.

    Sep
    8
    Comments Off

    With gold ready to break above $1,000, we have an interesting opportunity to look into the minds of competing traders in the markets and find out what they are thinking. After all, for every speculator who makes money in the financial markets someone else must lose.

    Sep
    1
    Comments Off

    The markets can be a challenge, but this appears to be a period when they are easy to predict. Both the stock and the commodity markets are in a bullish period, recovering from their decline of late 2008. The point you have to understand is that the stock market is in a bullish major trend but a bearish grand cycle trend. The commodity markets are in a bullish major trend and a bullish grand cycle trend. Here is the difference.

    Aug
    24
    Comments Off

    Listen carefully, dear gold bug. You are living in a world which is insane. All around you are the incredibly stupid people who, in the past, believed that the earth was flat and that one could fly by standing on a magic carpet. From every source of opinion comes the 21 st century version of those beliefs.

    Aug
    17
    Comments Off

    The people who make money in the markets are the people who latch onto a giant move, be it Polaroid in the ‘50s and ‘60s, gold in the ‘70s or Yahoo in the late ‘90s. This is not hard to do. Compared to predicting the short term it is easy. The problem is that most people live in the moment. Our emotions pull us in and get us excited about little moves. We lose the big picture, and this leads us to make the wrong decision.

    Aug
    10
    Comments Off

    On Monday, Aug. 3, 2009, the U.S. dollar index broke down to 77½, thus completing a double top (Nov. ’08 and March ’09). This was the major economic event of 2009 and predicts a further decline in the index to 68, which will be an all-time low.

    Aug
    3

    And here, in early August 2009, the world is once again perched on a knife-edge. Or, perhaps a better analogy would be that it stands at a fork in the road. Which way shall we travel, it asks?

    Jul
    27
    Comments Off

    It is, I believe, a Chinese expression, “May you live in interesting times.” Well, lucky us. We most certainly do live in interesting times.

    Jul
    23
    Comments Off

    Alas, poor gold bug. Things are better than a week ago – but not much. And here you sit, with gold about to break above $1000 and make you rich. Yet you are torn with fear and doubt. When you look back at this period, you will think, “Why was I so scared? I made a beautiful play. I beat the stuffings out of all my friends. Why did I have such doubts?”

    Jun
    30
    Mac Slavo
    Comments Off

    Howard Katz, no stranger to economic crisis, suggests that we are going to the moon with gold.

     
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