Hayward Bay Fault Line MORE DANGEROUS Than San Andreas: It’s A ‘Ticking Time Bomb’

by | Apr 20, 2018 | Emergency Preparedness, Experts, Forecasting, Headline News | 43 comments

Scientists are now saying that the “Big One” in California may not be caused by the San Andreas fault line, but by the Hayward Bay fault line. It is now thought to be the “ticking time bomb” fault line and more dangerous than the San Andres.

The scariest scenario for the next major earthquake may not be from the San Andreas Fault (though that one still threatens), but from the Hayward Fault that runs along the east side of the San Francisco Bay. In fact, many say that the next earthquake on the Hayward Bay fault line would be “disastrous.” According to KTUV, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake along the Hayward Fault could kill as many as 800 people and injure 18,000, according to results of a new research released Wednesday.

The U.S. Geological Survey, citing findings from a simulated tremor with an epicenter in Oakland, said the disaster would cause 400 fires that could destroy 50,000 homes. Nearly half a million people would be displaced, authorities said.

The simulated quake in the video above, known as the “HayWired scenario,” was modeled to occur at 4:18 p.m. on April 18 (yesterday). It replicates a rupture along the fault’s entire 52-mile length, from San Pablo Bay in the north to just east of San Jose in the south. According to this model, the violent shaking from the earthquake could cause the two sides of the fault to split six feet apart in some places. Some of the aftershocks would continue for several months as well. Cities in the East Bay would be hit hard, including Berkeley, Oakland, San Leandro, and Hayward.

If a 7.0 magnitude quake occurred like the one simulated, researchers say that the East Bay residents could be without water from anywhere between six weeks to six months. Electricity could be out for up to four weeks in some locations.

According to Business Insider, the statistical chances of this type of an earthquake occurring are not very comforting either. There’s about a 76% chance that the San Francisco Bay Area could experience a 7.2 magnitude earthquake within the next 30 years, according to some recent reports.

The San Andreas Fault under San Francisco rumbled apart about 112 years ago, causing the devastating 1906 earthquake that swallowed city blocks, broke water mains, and triggered massive fires that burned for days.  However, the threat of another major quake for the Bay Area is “real and could happen at any time,” according to researchers for the US Geological Survey.

The Hayward Fault is a “tectonic time bomb, due any time for another magnitude 6.8 to 7.0 earthquake,” according to a 2008 USGS report. Since then, research has indicated that the likelihood of a Hayward quake is greater and more threatening to the 7 million Bay Area residents than a San Andreas quake would be.

“It’s just waiting to go off,” USGS earthquake geologist emeritus David Schwartz warned when speaking to the Los Angeles Times.

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    1. OregonBuzz

      Don’t mean to be picky, but it’s San Andreas, not San Andres.

      • macslavo2

        Thank you – it has been corrected.

      • durangokidd

        ” … research has indicated that the likelihood of a Hayward quake is greater and more threatening to the 7 million Bay Area residents than a San Andreas quake would be.”

        Of course it would be. The Hayward Fault runs fight through the heart of the bay area. The San Andreas runs west of the bay. I lived in Castro Valley 40 years ago, right on the that fault, and had a dream that a major quake hit the East Bay in the middle of the night.

        It was extremely real. I left. But understand that ANY quake whether on the SA or HF would LIQUIFY The land under the SF Airport.

        Be there to get there was good advice when it was given to me many years ago, and it is good advice today. Hit the road jack and don’t look back !!! 🙂

        • laura ann

          DK: Let it rip!

          • Oren

            Is there any hope this will trigger the San Andreas? One could always hope.

        • The Deplorable Braveheart

          DK, agreed. Cali is toast regardless. I’ve always said for all the GOOD people in Cali to get out if possible.

          • durangokidd

            The residents of PRK are fools. I know, I have relatives in SoCal. 🙂 It’s a great life: the weather, the ocean,great jobs, and every entertainment imaginable. They think that it will happen to someone else, or that they will survive it even though they live on the Coast. So they continue to live there.

            And it will continue to be a great life …. until it isn’t …. and then it will be hell on earth with terror beyond belief. You.can’t fix.stupid !!! 🙂

          • Paranoid

            Agreed, all 22 of them.

            • Genius

              B from CA left so now it’s 21….

    2. B from CA



    3. Bert

      The top 6 Killers in America are:
      Heart Disease: 696,947
      Cancer: 557,271
      Stroke: 162,672
      Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 124,816
      Accidents: 106,742
      Diabetes: 73,249

      And the top 5 killers in the world are:
      1. Ischaemic Heart disease 7,208 12.6%
      2. Cerebrovascular disease 5,509 9.7%
      3. Lower Respiratory infections 3,884 6.8%
      4. HIV/AIDS 2,777 4.9%
      5. Chronic Obstructive Pulminary disease 2,748 4.8%

      Put things in perspective for once

      • Hmmmm

        Are the worldwide numbers excluding the U.S. numbers? Are these stats annual? Which year, if so. What do the % intend to convey? Where is this data from, and not sure I understand the relevance to this article.

        • Genius

          What I gleen from this is they left out the US on the global part but from the stats on AIDS it looks like the rest of the world has a lot of bumjugging faggots.

          • O.G.

            HIV- AIDS its biggest cause of Spread in Africa- unprotected heterosexual sex with prostitutes. My freind an IT person for a nonprofit health care in MD. He was familiar with the data. He predicted based on extrapolating data out 20-30 years for US and Western Europe that unprotected sex amongst straight people would become the most explosive growth area. So don’t be fooled, its not just Gay Men or IV drug users any more.

    4. B from CA

      And an 11.0 or a 13.0 would be even worse. (That’s sarcasm.)

      People living on a fault line like those in the Bay Area should prepare to be without electricity, gas, and water; in other words a grid down, for approximately three weeks to months or years in the worst case scenario.

      As for me, I believe it isn’t likely to last longer than three weeks.

      I lived through the last big one. The grid was down for two weeks in some areas. That’s it. So, stay calm and prepare.

      Criminals take advantage of these situations. Young women should not live alone ever, but especially during and after an earthquake that shuts down the grid.


      • laura ann

        B from CA: Is there anyway you can leave the state? Find work elsewhere? During hurricane Katrina in New O, women were raped, women of all ages and elderly are easy victims of robbery, assault, etc. during a disaster. Many in hospitals and nursing homes just died from neglect or drowning as people fled the scene.

        • B from CA


          I am from California. I live in another State at this time.

          Thank you for your concern.


          • laura ann

            B: I lived in the Monterrey area in ’65-’66, then moved to Oceanside for a year, left for good after marrying man from Florida in the service. Been in the S.E. ever since. Real nice scenery in N. Cal. Big Sur, Mt Shasta,and along the coast. Grew up in Seattle.

          • The Deplorable Braveheart

            B, glad to hear you’re in anyplace but Cali. Best move you could’ve made for yourself.

        • Paranoid

          During Hurricane Katrina nobody in Wyoming got raped. Pick on a Gal around here get your ass shot.

      • Luke Warm

        “Young women should not live alone ever…”

        Geez, this isn’t the year of our Lord 1623.

        • Beaumont

          Traditional conservatives will protect her modesty, or she has no smv. Sorry, not sorry.

        • Paranoid

          It’s true; Sam Colt should be every gals roommate.

          • Genius

            Yes, there are many fine boyfriends for the gals! Kimber, Glock, Beretta, Ruger, Kel Tec, they all do a great job of protecting their women! 🙂

    5. docosc

      Good Lord!! I thought this was referring to the Steelers’ backup WR Darrius Heyward Bey! Could not figure out how he could be that dangerous!

      • Sean

        DHB is only dangerous to a team’s chance of winning!

    6. rellik

      As an ex-Californian,
      I can say the cities listed will not be missed.
      I have spent a lot of time in them and know what
      of little use they are. The only real hit is port
      of Oakland, but most my shipping comes from
      Richmond( another sewer).

      • laura ann

        rellik: Agree, so let it rip.

    7. Heartless

      Let ’em both rip. Sure would end a bunch of problems. Heck, might even force the issue of dividing the State into the sane zone vs. the insane zone. All my b.s. aside, I don’t want people hurt; but, this whole earthquake threat has been going on since …. the whole of California has existed. People take risks and it’s up to them to figure out how to survive them.

    8. Keith R. Starkey

      Really, only 800 people would die?
      This report(er) hasn’t got a clue as to what would really happen. It’d be a hek of a lot more than 800 people who die.

      • Paranoid

        From the earthquake, with any luck, the riff raff will kill each other in the thousands.

        • Genius

          Or try and move here and I’LL KILL EM!

    9. The Deplorable Braveheart

      “Whole Lotta Shakin’ Goin’ On”

    10. The Deplorable Braveheart

      “Shake Rattle And Roll”

      • Paranoid

        With the fires it’s more like “Shake and Bake”

    11. ToS

      Many believe the Rogers Creek fault is either part of the Hayward fault or if the Hayward fault goes, so would Rogers Creek.

      Supposedly the greater threat for an all-out humdinger of a quake is Rogers Creek.

      All the “smart” people have also built every single hospital in Sonoma County on the Rogers Creek fault as well.

      Sonoma County is where the first wildfires happened last October. Where many people reported lasers as lightning in the aftermath but were branded tin foil hat people.

    12. Brian

      The worst outcome that I can imagine for being in an earthquake is to be buried alive in the rubble of some building(especially if it is on fire). You see videos of the aftermath of some earthquake where rescuers are trying to locate survivors in the rubble. If you live in an earthquake-prone area, you should keep some means of making a lot of noise. If it were me, I would get the loudest and shrillest whistle I could buy, put it on a chain, and wear it around my neck at all times! There are also personal alarm devices for making loud, shrill noises!

    13. Beaumont

      If you find the exact latitude and longitude, on a satellite map, there are what appears to be dry or epehemeral stream beds, where the water comes and goes. These are actually faults.

      There are hotpools and volcanism, along this fault system, imhblo, comparable to Yellowstone. You can smell the fumaroles, from a distance, and see them on Doppler, and find them in the wilderness, on foot, if you are curious.

      Most people are completely oblivious of what goes on, directly underfoot, or just out of eyeshot, of where the housing developments end. Primal forces are everywhere, around you, if you know what you see.

      • Beaumont

        Edit — When earthquakes are plotted, and you see where is the latitude and longitude…

    14. Sgt. Dale

      Ok we know they will have earthquakes. So what? Live there and enjoy life or worry about it and don’t enjoy life. Prep as best as you can. That is all you can do.

    15. nlightened2

      So those who live as Sodomites did are promised to be destroyed by fire, not a little ground shaking. The modern day Gommorha is only a few hundred miles south of modern day Sodom. Keep looking upwards…

    16. Brian

      The seismic fault lines must be emitting some kind of poisonous gas which causes brain damage. All of the liberal Californians can’t become so stupid on their own, regardless of what they smoke, inject, or ingest!

    17. Oren

      Oh well. Call it urban renewal. It’s a pity California can’t get their act together and go ahead and secede…BEFORE…the big quake. That way none of my tax money will be used to rebuilt the land of the faggots and liberals…or are they the same?

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