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Even Though the Suez Canal Is Reopened, It Could STILL Cause Catastrophic Supply Chain Damage

Robert Wheeler
March 31st, 2021
The Organic Prepper
Comments (8)

This article was originally published by Robert Wheeler at The Organic Prepper. 

As of right now, the Suez Canal blockage seems only to be a human interest story. Some readers watching the story of the grounded sky-scraper-sized Ever Given container ship may find it comical and curious. Surely you’ve seen the many memes circling the internet?

Only a few understand the ramifications if the vessel isn’t dug out and freed very soon. But the Suez Canal blockage could very well become an issue at the checkout counter.

UPDATE: The canal has reopened at 10 Monday morning after being blocked for nearly a week. Hundreds of vessels remain backed up and passage will hopefully resume later today. Due to the massive delays and just-in-time shipping, the facts of the article remain pertinent.

Lloyd’s List has estimated the wait is costing about $9.6 billion per day

Before the Ever Given ship was grounded, approximately 50 vessels a day sailed through the narrow Suez Canal, which amounts to roughly 10% of global trade. These vessels carried everything from electronics to chemicals, ore, petroleum, and food.

With the ship being lodged sideways in the canal, there are virtually no alternative routes for shipping goods from Asia to Europe. Much of that cargo is simply sitting idle. It is either currently waiting to cross the canal or stuck in port. Owners and shippers are left wondering what to do. Do they place bets the channel will reopen soon? Or choose more costly and time-consuming alternatives?

Potential severe ramifications for the supply chain are looming

Because of the lockdowns, restrictions, and shutdowns related to COVID, global supply chains are already reeling.

“This is just one more challenge to the supply chain operations that we’re seeing across the board,” Jonathan Gold, Vice President for supply chain and customs policy with the National Retail Federation, said. “[We are] already seeing congestion and other things impacting the supply chain. This is one more thing that adds to that.”

A prolonged shutdown in Suez will only amplify those troubles. Europe would suffer the most significant blow as it relies mainly on transfers through the canal. But, given the unfortunate globalized economy, the United States will feel the effects as well.

What do companies caught in the congestion have to say?

Jennifer Bisceglie, an expert in global supply chain resilience and founder and CEO of Interos Inc., believes that it’s time for companies to consider “having more disparate [supply hubs] instead of having all our eggs on one cargo ship.”

“These things can’t be looked at discretely,” said Bisceglie. “Last year, you had this big wake-up call of the concentration risks of the physical supply chain from COVID, and then you had this on top of it.”

Maersk told NPR that it was not committing to rerouting any of their ships at this time because it was too early to do so.

The company stated, “while out of our control, we apologize for the inconvenience this incident may cause to your business and for critical shipments.”

“[We] recommend that you reach out to your local sales representative for dialogues and quotations on alternative solutions, such as air and rail for urgent cargo that is still at origin or elsewhere,” it said.

What will this mean for the cost of shipping, operating costs, and oil prices?

Mostly, it will depend on how long the ship remains stuck and how quickly the other ships can catch up on their deliveries.

“[A] few days might not have a meaningful impact,” said John Kartsonas of Breakwave Advisors, a company that specializes in asset management and advisory services for the shipping and commodities industries. But he added that if the situation takes weeks to resolve, it is likely shipping rates will start to climb. More days at sea means ships are burning more fuel. That means operating costs will also start to rise. 

Jonathan Roach, a container market analyst for Braemar ACM Shipbroking told NPR:

“The large container ships, the super, mega-max container ships, can burn 100 [to] 150 tons of fuel a day,” Braemar ACM Shipbroking’s Roach told NPR.

That’s $80,000 a day in fuel and an extra 10 days travel time — both to and from Asia. “So, you’re looking at the best part of a million dollars with your operating costs. So it’s a million dollars out and a million dollars back,” he said.

In his letter to clients, Roach also noted problems at the Suez Canal could disrupt the flow of containers. A trade imbalance between Europe and Asia means that filled containers going west return mostly empty to ports in the east to be refilled. “If empty stocks dwindle in Asia, there is the short-term possibility of an increase” in prices, Roach wrote.

Insurance is another consideration. If costs are passed on to the insurers, the insurers will respond with a spike in insurance premiums and thus an ultimate increase in consumer prices. Oil prices are also of great concern. Shipping rates for petroleum products have nearly doubled since Ever Given’s grounding. 

Patrick De Haan, the head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy explains the possible impact on fuel prices:

“If the Suez Canal remains blocked for more than a few more days or over a week, we could likely see some disruptions in oil flows between the Middle East and Europe that could impact price globally,” said Patrick De Haan, the head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy.

“But it should not hamper flows of oil to North America,” De Haan said. “At worst, if the issue continues, if oil prices do see a sustained rally, the blockage could have a small and limited impact on gas prices, likely no more than a few cents per gallon on average.”

Are you ready for excessively high costs for just about everything?

Currently, Americans are living with limited options. The strain on the supply chain is showing up in grocery stores, clothing stores, hardware stores, appliance stores, and places like Walmart and Target. The mainstream is already warning of another impending toilet paper apocalypse (Get prepared with these alternatives.) Now, add the Ever Green grounding and globally, we will likely see the cost of fuel prohibitively high. We may also see the price of small luxury items and food so high only those who have benefited from globalization and the world oligarchical system will be able to afford them.

Are you stocking up on anything in particular in response to the Suez Canal crisis? Do you foresee any particular issues that others may not have considered? Let’s talk about it in the comments.

About Robert

Robert Wheeler has been quietly researching world events for two decades. After witnessing the global network of NGOs and several ‘Revolutions’ they engineered in a number of different countries, Wheeler began analyzing current events through these lenses.

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    Author: Robert Wheeler
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    Date: March 31st, 2021
    Website: https://www.theorganicprepper.com/

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    8 Comments...

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    1. China is paying shippers to deliver empty containers back from the US. Why are the containers going back empty? The problem is that the US main exports are weapons of war and financial fraud, and China wants neither.

      A large amount of the containers used to be filled with waste that China recycled, but they no longer want that, either. It now goes to the landfills here, since it is cheaper to make new plastic pellets from surplus natgas feedstock, than to recycle the old plastic. The pellets are then shipped to China to make the plastic junk we all need.

      • Mr_Yesterday says:

        It’s all plastic these days. The process is so sophisticated they make things that they brand and call as metal, which are actually hardened plastic forms. Your nylon, rayon, and anything not cotton and not wool, it’s all plastic. That soft teddy bear, plastic. Your carpets under your feet, spun plastic. That dust on your desk, it’s not dust, it’s micro fibers which became brittle, look closer, it’s plastic. Your puffy jacket, plastic. Your pillow if not down feather, plastic. Your furniture, plastic.

        We as consumers are all about real metal, real wood, rubber, etc. The focus on this product lineup keeps you better aware of the true state of the supply chain, it’s been stressed for a very very long time. Blue Planet is a good movie to watch, you can see for yourself the scale of the global supply chain and it will blow your mind to see it yourself. Reading about this can not express the true scale of it all. Plastic or planet, it’s time to choose. I don’t really go for greeny arguments because it’s inevitably some branded corporate sales pitch. But examining the scope of plastic creation, consumption, and disposal, it becomes apparent that it really will be true, the oceans will contain more plastic than organic matter within our lifetimes. Please stop using plastic and stop purchasing plastic right now. At a minimum, pass on the plastic bags and get a canvas bag or something. It’s everywhere, we struggle to not purchase it and we’ve also been writing product suppliers, was it really necessary to use plastic, have you heard of newspaper and cardboard? Trees are where the birds and bees live, the move to paperless was one of the most environmentally destructive practices in history. Just google one word and then click images; ewaste.

        This website became very interesting to me because of the scale and scope of what’s happening in the world. Most people can’t get their mind around the idea that our infinite resources are actually finite and dwindling fast.

        Henry Rollins, Delicate Tendrils. They want what you have. As they circle the watering hole. And close in.

    2. Andrea.Iravani. says:

      The yellow fleet was an eight year traffic jam in the Suez lasting from 1967-1973. 

      The world relies too heavily on Asia for importing items essentilal for their survival. 

      The Paris Accord aka the Kyoto Protocal and the Green New Deal  prohibit developed countries from increasing their autonomy and independence from and reliance on Asian, Latin American, and African, countries. 

      Since the Paris Accord aka Kyoto Protocol claims that China, Asian and Indo-Pacific countries, except Japan, Middle Eastern countries,  India, Latin American countries, and African countries are all developing countries, all of those countries are not subjected to carbon taxes, are permitted to increase CO2 emissions without a carbon tax, all of all of those countries are also financially rewarded for reducing CO2 emissions, and America and developed countries would be forced to pay for the transition of the “developing” countries transition to renewable energy prior to our own transtion. 

      All of the provisions in the Kyoto protocol force dependency on 
      “developing” countries, even if developed countries fully transition to 100% renewable energy, CO2 emissions still occur in the many steps involved in mining, smelting, and manufacturing.

      Similarly, wealthy tycoons in America and in developed countries that have monopolized various industries, the majority of whom are behind the Kyoto Protocol 100% because they would make more money by producing nothing at all through carbon credits awarded for reducing CO2, and would penalize anyone that attempted to step up to the plate and fill the many sudden voids in the supply chain, who would have no choice but to pass the exhorbitant carbon tax costs onto consumers which would result in diabolical price inflation and a drastically reduced standard of living, making even essential items for survival nearly impossible to purchase. 

      America should be capable of being self-sufficient, as we once were, and other countries should also, for the survival of all, in the event of the numerous things that could go wrong, whether natural disaster, war, civil war with trading partners, or political upheaval. 

      Andrea Iravani

      • Mr_Yesterday says:

        Well you know, that’s why they promote their supply chain products and downplay true innovation like the apartment greenhouse, aquaponics systems, rooftop electrical by way of growing and capturing the energy output of algae.

        There are true planet saving inventions available right now, it’s just exceedingly hard to utilize them because the corporate structure forces consumer attention elsewhere. It’s up to us to do something different. Vote with your wallet. Vote with your feet. Vote with your time.

        • Andrea.Iravani. says:

          Not only that, but large companies purchase patent rights created by inventors, thereby destroying all such technology.

          Years ago on CNBC, they had an inventor on that developed roof installed wind turbines. A 1,500 sqf home could meet all of their energy needs with this technology that CNBC featured, which has disappeared from the internet years ago. They just looked like standard room sized fans. One roof would need three of them, which would generate power stored to a battery and used for electricity.

          The utility companies would be the likely culprits. Even in renewable energy, they want to own that as well, building gigantic solar and wind farms that would force everyone to depend on them.

          Then there are also earth batteries, and lithium is not required for batteries since electron exchanges create electricity, not lithium, sodium or sodium chloride could be used. These are myths that are kept alive by vested interests that insist that lithium is necessary, and the many other myths that permit privateers to reap obscene profits from everyone alive.

          The roof top fans were not loud either, and would kill less birds since they were not elevated high above the roof. They would also not create the visual polution of filling fields, lakes and oceans with wimd turbines, which are easily destroyed in lakes and oceans anyways for a variety of reasons ranging from hurricanes, tornadoes, tidal waves, tsunamis, earth quakes, volcanoes, tectonic shift, and rust.

          Andrea Iravani

          Andrea Iravani

    3. Andrea.Iravani. says:

      The yellow fleet was an eight year traffic jam in the Suez lasting from 1967-1973. 

      The world relies too heavily on Asia for importing items essentilal for their survival. 

      The Paris Accord aka the Kyoto Protocal and the Green New Deal  prohibit developed countries from increasing their autonomy and independence from and reliance on Asian, Latin American, and African, countries. 

      Since the Paris Accord aka Kyoto Protocol claims that China, Asian and Indo-Pacific countries, except Japan, Middle Eastern countries,  India, Latin American countries, and African countries are all developing countries, all of those countries are not subjected to carbon taxes, are permitted to increase CO2 emissions without a carbon tax, all of all of those countries are also financially rewarded for reducing CO2 emissions, and America and developed countries would be forced to pay for the transition of the “developing” countries transition to renewable energy prior to our own transtion. 

      All of the provisions in the Kyoto protocol force dependency on 
      “developing” countries, even if developed countries fully transition to 100% renewable energy. CO2 emissions still occur in the many steps involved in mining, smelting, and manufacturing.

      Similarly, the majority of wealthy tycoons are 100% behing the Kyoto Protocol, aka Paris Agreement, and the Green New Deal, in America and in developed countries that have monopolized various industries, because they would make more money by producing nothing at all through carbon credits awarded for reducing CO2, and would penalize anyone that attempted to step up to the plate and fill the many sudden voids in the supply chain, who would have no choice but to pass the exhorbitant carbon tax costs onto consumers which would result in diabolical price inflation and a drastically reduced standard of living, making even essential items for survival nearly impossible to purchase. 

      America should be capable of being self-sufficient, as we once were, and other countries should also, for the survival of all, in the event of the numerous things that could go wrong, whether natural disaster, war, civil war with trading partners, or political upheaval. 

      Imported items should be luxury items. 

      Andrea Iravani

    4. Bluesky says:

      This was no accident it was sabotage. It’s a warning that they can disrupt your supply chain ⛓️ anytime they want

    5. Andrea.Iravani. says:

      Since the psychopaths that are using vault7 technology, and mob excess deterent using silent audio on me, and that are spying on me are totally mentally incompetent, I thought that I would be gracious enough to inform you that you are totally wasting your time and technology by targeting me, and are also building a consensus to enslave you, your family, and descendents by using this technology on me since it would not be used by you, unless you explicitly approve of it being used on people.

      The question is, why are you targetting me rather than Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Jack Dorsey, Peter Thiel, Michael Milken, Warren Buffett, George Sorros, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Antony Blinken, Lloyd Austin, Avrille Haines, Anthony Fauci, Eric Schmidt, Sundar Piche, the Biden and the rest of his administration, congress, and AIPAC?

      You are wasting your time by targetting me. I am not the person that is setting policy,  has national security secrets, or a tremendous amount of wealth. If any one person is setting policy, it is Bill Gates, not me.

      Andrea Iravani

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