Martin Armstrong: A Forecast for Real Estate

by | Nov 23, 2009 | Forecasting, Martin Armstrong | 4 comments

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    Former Chairman of Princeton Economics International and Foundation for the Study of Cycles, Martin Armstrong, discusses his 78 Year Real Estate Cycle Wave. Armstrong provides readers with a brief look at real estate by superimposing his model throughout history dating back to Athens and Julius Caesar, through 2009 and beyond.

    “There is no delicate way to put this right now, but we are looking at a serious economic depression in terms of values of real estate. We have reached a crossroad that is very profound and if we do not at least try to comprehend the problem, we may be facing the worst economic implosion that has taken place in centuries. Thanks to the New York Investment Banks, they helped to leverage real estate far beyond anything that took place in history, and we are going to pay the price.”

    The following 78 Year Real Estate Cycle Wave shows the major turning points for real estate through 2033. Note the 2007.15 turning point as being the top of a 52 year rise. According to Armstrong, the following 26 years will see a decline in real estate prices through 2033, with a brief rise from 2012 through 2015.

    (Click for larger image)

    armstrong_78recw

    Martin Armstrong discusses the presumption that real estate always rises:

    “The FIRST golden rule, “Presume Nothing” is so profound, far too many people just go charging forward. It has been the presumption since my childhood, that real estate always rises in the long-term and thus is a great asset constituting the majority of the average person’s wealth.

    What if the presumption is wrong?

    Now we are entering into a subject-matter that is so fundamental, it starts to get a bit scary. You will now see what I  have been very concerned about after discovering this serious problem decades ago.

    I have written about the Debt Crisis that was faced in Athens by Solon (630-530BC) and Julius Caesar (100-44BC). Now these history lessons will start to pay-off. What was it causing the debt crisis? Real Estate! This is critical to understand. It was not the public debt alone, but the private debt involving REAL ESTATE!”

    As we’ve discussed in prior posts, this is the largest collapse of debt the world has ever seen, and it has been caused, in major part, by real estate debt. As Martin Armstrong points out, real estate driven debt collapses are violent and volatile. And, if history is any guide, this could very well threaten the foundations of These United States.

    Read the full article by Martin Armstrong: A Forecast for Real Estate:

    A Forecast For Real Estate

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      4 Comments

      1. Anon

        Emergency! Martin Armstrong Needs Your Help Now!
        Martin Armstrong is being illegally moved to a hell hole jail in as an obvious payback for speaking out
        Moving Marty is a clear act of retribution in direct violation of the law. As a result of the “The New Yorker” magazine article and the subsequent fact that many additional members of the Press have been trying to gain access to him, the new Fort Dix Warden Donna Zikefoose and her henchman David Steel and K Byrd, have ignored federal law and are attempting to move Marty to one of the worst, dirtiest, most unsafe jails in the US where he will not even have access to the sun let alone a type writer for the remainder of his sentence. This place is truly one of the worst jails in the United States. Marty will be mixed in with accused murderers, and other violent and dangerous types. They are attempting to slip this through over the holiday hoping to avoid notice. The facility they want to send him to is BOP (Bureau of Prisons) MDC (Metropolitan Detention Center) Brooklyn New York where they will work him for 11 cents an hour as a cadre. This is the sister facility to the one in Manhattan where Marty spent seven years in contempt (never even seeing the sun) and was almost beaten to death and wound up in intensive. This is a quote from Last paragraph of Marty’s Paper of “Looking Behind the Curtain…The Real Conspiracy” April 9, 2009 Paper. Marty tells the harrowing story as follows…
        read all at http://economicedge.blogspot.com/2009/11/martin-armstong-forced-to-move-to-high.html
        or
        http://www.scribd.com/kzuur58
         

      2. Anon2

        What can be done to help him?

      3. admin

        Anon, thousands of people faxed, called and raised hell with the warden of the prison and his transfer was stopped. Apparently the officials at the prison couldn’t take it anymore so they backed off.

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