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Oil Spill Worst Case Scenario: Catastrophic SHTF

Mac Slavo
June 3rd, 2010
SHTFplan.com
Comments (15)

Ol’ Remus of Woodpile Report brought to our attention an interesting article from Rense.com, published on May 15, 2010.

From Remus:

Rense tends to the ultra-sensational, so much so that Woodpile Report regards Rense as mostly entertainment.

That said, this was written two weeks ago and much of it has come to pass.

Remus passes this on for those who don’t mind thinking about the unthinkable.

Synopsis:

This is a description of the steps BP has taken to cap this well followed by a description of what may happen should all attempts fail. The author foresees a catastrophic, uncontained release of virtually unlimited amounts of this oil, gas and crud into the Gulf waters. The release would continue until the geological pressure on the oil and gas was expended. The consequences would be nearly unimaginable.

Some excerpts:

… the amount, the insane volumes, of gas and oil that could be released if this thing blows apart are truly of nightmare proportions

… There will be who knows how many cubic feet of gas released into the atmosphere and the surrounding area with an untold amount of toxins

… the economic implications are dire

… we are talking thousands and thousands of square miles of toxic crud.

… I’m not even sure the well drilling rigs would even be able to operate in the area

… the gas is not breathable and it’s Explosive too … One thunder storm comes by and a lightning strike? … BOOM

… if you live near the Gulf you can make preparations for the possibilities … which could be incredibly bad

… panic evacs or just plain mass panic, badass noxious fumes or worse

… I guarantee that NO ONE knows for sure.

As was pointed out in The BP Oil Disaster is a WAY BIGGER Problem Than You May Think published May 6, 2010, many Americans may be underestimating the ramifications of the spill. There is a reason that the US government has described this as a national security issue and blacked out almost all media coverage of the recent goings on in the gulf. Gag orders abound, and no “real” news is being released to the public.

The public is very aware of the primary leak, but there are reports that when the BP well blew, it may have caused a geological event 5 – 6 miles away, which may be leaking even more oil and gas into the gulf. No one is talking about this. To our knowledge, the government and BP have yet to debunk this secondary leak, so we must assume that this is also a possibility and that the problem is even worse than our own worst-case thoughts on the matter.

In addition to the obvious disaster to the lives of fisherman, restaurant owners, the tourism industry and real estate along the gulf shores, the problem could be much worse, affecting not just those who live on the gulf, but everyone in America.

Consider that the gulf produces about 10% of America’s daily oil usage and what the current moratorium on deep and shallow water drilling will do to the price of oil going forward. From what we understand, there is no offshore drilling happening, and it has been suspended indefinitely.

Couple that with the fact that 30% of the seafood supply of the United States may be wiped out (in the gulf alone, not counting the east coast), and you can see how food security becomes a major issue. As the price of seafood goes through the roof, people will begin to replace their seafood with beef, chicken, pork and vegetables like rice and soy. As a result of the increased demand, the prices of these foodstuffs may rise as well.

As most of our readers know, the economy is already in shambles and we don’t believe, for one second, that we are in any sort of sustainable recovery. Increasing the price of our most important consumption items (energy and food) may very well be the straw that breaks the camel’s back.

As was suggested in the article referenced from Rense.com, SHTF in the near term cannot be ruled out:

I am telling you all this so that you will understand what we face..and also so that if you live near the Gulf you can make preparations for the possibilities…which could be incredibly bad…panic evacs or just plain mass panic, badass noxious fumes or worse…I guarantee that NO ONE knows for sure.

They really only have one shot here…and that is the top kill, Watch for it and pay attention, be aware what this all means to ALL OF US and I hope I explained things well enough to be understood by anyone. The top kill shot should be coming soon…I hope…as soon as possible….if you hear it failed…or if the well blew itself apart before they can do it…get the fuck ready, because Pandora’s box is about to open wide and the closest thing to the SHTF for real that we will likely see in our lifetimes is about come charging out at full rampant force…and it’s a very large and deep box….

Though Goldman Sachs sold off 40% of their BP stake a month before the rig disaster happened, most would consider this an unforeseen black swan event, an unpredictable variable. Thus, if you were working your SHTF planning off of a timetable based on the Fed’s monetary policy, real estate resets, European bailouts, and debt crises across states within the US, then an event like this may very well speed up the crash, collapse or depression you are concerned about.

Another event, which may not necessarily be a black swan, as we know it’s likely to pass, is war in the middle east, namely with Iran.

Oil is the bloodline of the industrialized world. Do not underestimate the adverse effects that oil related geo-political events may have on our economy and way of life.

If the spill is as bad as some analysts have predicted, and they can’t stop this until Christmas, as some have suggested, then we are looking at significant ecological destruction in the Gulf of Mexico. We may not be hard core tree huggers here at SHTF, but we feel pretty strongly about our food and energy supplies being critical to our survival. Let’s hope that we and other worst-case thinkers are overreacting.

If, however, this is as bad as we think it may be, we direct our readers to the Emergency Preparedness section of this web site. Buckle up – this could have catastrophic effects for our country.

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Author: Mac Slavo
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Date: June 3rd, 2010
Website: www.SHTFplan.com

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15 Comments...

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  1. sanityjones says:

    Well it appears as though we may indeed have the makings of one Hell of a mess on our hands as top hat II does not seem to be going well. On the bright side……..real estate prices in the Rocky Mountain West should stabilize.

  2. max says:

    could that possibly create a firestorm? if there was a tornado and lightening could it create a firestorm?

  3. We have only seen a fraction of the hell that is getting ready to come down from this oil leak…

    The total collapse of the US economy will most likely be the outcome…

    AmericanSurvival101.com

  4. Obama the Deciever says:

    While the ecosystem of the Gulf of Mexico is being destroyed  Obama is doing photo shoots with NCAA players, going to awards dinners, playing golf, throwing parties at the White House.

    Think about all the vigor he put into getting his Healthcare scam passed.    Now compare that to the urgency he is giving to the Gulf of Mexico.   There is none.    Obama looks at the Gulf disaster merely as a intrusion on his evil agenda.   The citizens be damned. 

    Obama is a evil presence who decietfully obtained the top office of this country.   Obama will continue to decieve the weak minded of this country until he achieves his objective, the destruction of the United States.   His power to decieve was given to him by the father of lies, his spiritual mentor, Satan. 

  5. clusterfox says:

    this leak, like all the similar ones kept under wraps, won’t be stopped until thr relief wells suck down the pressure under the seabed.

    …even then oil may continue to leak out for decades.

    good luck…

  6. Chuckles says:

    I live in Mississippi and am about 200 miles from the coast, but I’m still worried about the after affects of this spill where I live.

  7. Laura says:

    Dr Simon is right;   also massive coastal evac (and later possible evac further inland) is very likely because of toxins and maybe contamination of the water supply.  This is a real nightmare. I live 80 mi inland from Panama city, FL.  Millions of refugees moving N. millions of biz and jobs gone.  Worthless property values; whole cities gone.

  8. Dennis says:

    Comments…..Without a doubt this is shaping up to be the biggest disaster in history for the area affected.  Interesting that we haven’t heard Palin’s “Drill baby, Drill” chant lately.  Can anyone imagine this problem on the North Slope where BP wants to drill?  Mississippi will likely be heavily affected.  Doubt if more casinos will save them this time.  Poorest state in the Union is about to dip a couple notches lower…Sad!

  9. Yourdaddy says:

    I’m definitely not an “oil guy” but have done enough trolling around various blog sites to become dangerous…One of the topics raised has been “Seafloor collapse.”

    Do any of the regulars here know more about that?  Is that a real possibility?  If so, has it ever happened before?  Obviously, the doom that is associated with such a scenario is what motivates alot of folks to profer it as a (remote) possibility, but I am curious to learn more about it. 
    Thanks
    Dad

  10. BleakoEcobamics says:

    It’s a good think we have a punitive damages cap of $75million.  We wouldn’t want something like this to affect BPs profits.  Or to discourage them from taking similar risks at the USA’s expense in the future. 
    <\sarcasm>
    Is there no accountability for anyone anymore?

  11. Unenlightened One says:

    Alright and if that isnt’t scary enough, what about this abnormally active hurricane season that we just entered?  So, if hurricanes gather strength from the warm waters (and now oils) of the Gulf of Mexico, will oil not be picked up and flung like horse$*#! into the mainland?

  12. Just Wondering... says:

    Just wondering if anyone else suspects that someone intentionally blew this oil rig up. I have never seen any interviews with any survivors or the families of the deceased,  which we all know the media gobbles that stuff up and runs it into the ground. No interviews from the survivors tends to tell me that they (media) doesn’t want them talking about what they experienced when the rig blew up, i.e. if something wasn’t right about the explosion. I hope I don’t come off as a conspiracy nut but what better way to get new legislation passed for the gov to get rid of drilling off shore. Now there is talk of actually passing legislation on coal production because of what happened in the Gulf. I watch the video of Obama saying that he will bankrupt the coal industry. I think that somebody didn’t know that the shutoff valve was going to fail.

  13. Hello there is a great company called planet resource to fix the problem there is a frrat animation of correcting this
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=60bdQQQ3iVw

  14. MomToFive says:

    Comments…..I live in Mobile, AL, which is appr.30-35 miles from the Gulf.  Every couple of days we wake up to some really noxious smells and our eyes sting and sometimes itch.  I don’t know if this is benzene, or a by-product of the dispersants being used.  My dog, that stays outdoors has had constnat red and runny eyes since about the middle of May.  I wonder what other harm is being caused around here?

  15. Ha,

    You know there are predictions out there that this oil Spill won’t even stop at Christmas this year, and there’s a possibility it could take years (if it ever even does) stop leaking.  Wanna see an example of that prediction?  Check out the latest “Shape of Things to Come” by the webbot guys over at halfpasthuman.com

    How about the thought of an oil drenched hurricane like one with the strength of Katrina to show up and nail any state down in the gulf?  Imagine if the tides were to rise the levels they did after Katrina with the oil drenched toxic mess that’s left there, think shit’d hit the fan then?  It’s not going to be a fun summer, people are going to flip the fuck out and we’ve got a serious government crackdown and almost 0 time left til it happens, it’s why I’ve started up a webpage…

    http://www.worldwidewakeupnow.com/Author_s_Daily_Thoughts.html

    has my post from today in it talking about that very thing happening, please guys help me get the word of my new site out and help getting people to start thinking over there too.  sooner or later the shit will hit the fan, it’s why we all come to this website everyday