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Preparations for War & Collapse: Gauging Possibility and Probability, and Making Preparations

Jeremiah Johnson
November 5th, 2018
SHTFplan.com
Comments (44)
Read by 7,288 people

Many times comments have been written about how the site should be tailored more toward subjects entailing preparing and survival. Indeed, all of the Independent Media is “guilty” of reporting news and current events…political matters, politicians, what they said, what they did, ad infinitum. At times it may seem almost a “tabloid,” and may seem to bear no focus upon survival subjects, prepping, and so forth.

That is the furthest thing from the truth.

From the micro-anthropological standpoint, man is (most of the time) very little better than an ape: he kills, steals, eats, lies…will rip his neighbor to shreds or denounce him to pursue his own agenda. There is a conflict in every human heart, and no human being is beyond the ability to follow such behaviors [as Val Kilmer’s “Doc Holliday” termed them] outlined: “very cosmopolitan,” so to speak.

This concept is important to understand, because the same organisms as you and I…that sweat, eat, and lust after money, property, sex, and power…these same hunter-gatherer-killers…have their fingers or lips close to mechanisms that launch nuclear weapons and send out troops to die.

All masking the true reasons for the “crusade,” that fall under one of the aforementioned categories, or others. Such as a diplomatic consular outpost of the United States and its ambassador and staff coming under attack with no response, no reprisal. This is why it is critical to watch the news and see what these (mis)representatives of the world’s governments are doing and saying. Sift it for the relevant facts, and we step into the next points: predictive probabilities and possibilities.

We have a midterm election coming up in just a few days. This midterm election can go either way: Republicans hold the Houses of Congress, or the Democrats take even one of them. In the latter case, the President becomes a paper tiger for the rest of the term…and then must use Executive Orders to pass anything he needs. I wrote about this before the election of 2016, and after the President was inaugurated. I also wrote that the election on November 2 will chart the course for the remaining two years for him. One of those years is shot, as he will have to campaign, probably against Hillary Clinton. Just the very idea is the second most boring and redundant thing for any voter…right up there with seeing “Ron Paul for President” bumper stickers.

As most of the readers here have pointed out (correctly, I might add), preparatory functions such as gathering supplies, and training are functions that are continuous. Never mind the politicos: there are natural disasters, such as flood, fire, earthquakes, and hurricanes to prepare for. The point to be stressed here is you can take the human element of the politicos…weigh what is happening around them and in the world…and see how they line up the chess pieces before it happens.

Probability assessments involve gauging the percent chance that something will happen: civil war/rioting, racial discord (already at an all-time high), and internal collapse. It falls in line with a deliberate decision-making matrix, but where you list all of the variables. Take the figurehead/the “one man/Messianic” model we follow. You can see the amount of consternation and trouble being “stirred up” and gauge this as to whether or not the leader will do something to take the public mind (for what it is) and distract it from what is actually occurring.

Bush Jr. did this with the invasion of Iraq in ‘03, throwing people into a “Stay the Course!” mentality…plus a little help from John Edwards…to defeat Kerry/Mr. Heinz. Now we have a “caravan of love” heading toward the United States. In addition to the 5,000 troops being sent there and what appears to be solidarity between the President, the DHS, and the military to keep them out, be aware: there have been movements of artillery pieces and armored vehicles to the border as well. Go onto Hal Turner’s site for film and photos of this.

The United States is currently in a very precarious position. The Chinese and the Russians have openly stated (through government representatives) that they are preparing for war. Check out this one article released by unz.com entitled A Senior Russian Diplomat Confirms: “Russia Is Preparing for War” – Is Anybody Listening?” published on 11/2/18. That diplomat is none other than Andrei Belousov, a deputy director in the Russian Foreign Ministry. Look up his bio. Moscow University grad of 1981: Hardcore Communist, sharp, young, and one of Putin’s advisers…akin to most of his staff, not afraid to take chances. Here’s an excerpt for you:

Andrei Belousov, deputy director of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s Department of Nonproliferation and Arms Control, has recently made an important statement which I shall quote in full and then provide a translation.

Translation: “Recently at a meeting the United States stated that Russia is preparing for war. Yes, Russia is preparing for war, I can confirm it. Yes, we are preparing to defend our homeland, our territorial integrity, our principles, our values, our people. We are preparing for such a war. But there is a major difference between us and the United States. Linguistically, this difference is just in one word, in both Russian and English: Russia is preparing for war while the United States is preparing a war” (emphasis added).”

This is the kind of statement that should receive attention when pooled with the activities around the world (Russian troop movements out of Kaliningrad, and Vladimir Putin’s recent statements about being ready to engage in war) amount to something. If it is possible you should prepare for it. If it is probable? You will only know that by gauging the events around you…sifting through the relevant information and using what you think you need…matching it with what you know, and what you can do about it.

Potential “tipping points” can be gauged and (if not “predicted”) then forecast fairly accurately. One of those points may manifest itself on Tuesday, November 6 on this midterm election. A time of tumult and a time of vulnerability are the perfect moments for an enemy to attack or a domestic insurrection/civil war to begin. One more piece from that article for your perusal:

It is, therefore, crucial to fully realize that Russian official and diplomats carefully measure every word they say and that when they repeat over and over again that Russia is ready for war, they actually and truly mean it!

Gauge all of the resources at your disposal, and watch the leadership and politicians. Watch what they do…unscheduled “vacations” or “sessions” outside of D.C., and listen to the rhetoric…because it may not just be figurative rhetoric…it might be literal and a Freudian slip released it. Forecast and prepare for what is possible and make adjustments for the probable. If it doesn’t happen? No harm done. It is better to prepare and be “wrong” about something happening 100 times than to not prepare for the one time that something comes to pass. I leave you with this for your reflection regarding the politicos, and bid you to stay in that good fight…by staying aware, vigilant, and acting on facts and on your gut instincts:

(Richard Nixon, during the time of consideration for impeachment hearings, stated to Sen. Alan Cranston, D-CA):  “At any moment, I could go into the other room and press a button and 20 minutes later 60 million people would be dead,” after referring to his position as President and maintaining world peace being more important than any “little burglary” at Watergate.”

Punch Line: This was released to the public in February of 1976 by the L.A. Times…two years after the impeachment proceedings, and a year and a half after Nixon resigned.


Jeremiah Johnson is the Nom de plume of a retired Green Beret of the United States Army Special Forces (Airborne).  Mr. Johnson is also a Gunsmith, a Certified Master Herbalist, a Montana Master Food Preserver, and a graduate of the U.S. Army’s SERE school (Survival Evasion Resistance Escape).  He lives in a cabin in the mountains of Western Montana with his wife and three cats. You can follow Jeremiah’s regular writings at SHTFplan.com or contact him here.

This article may be republished or excerpted with proper attribution to the author and a link to www.SHTFplan.com.

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Author: Jeremiah Johnson
Views: Read by 7,288 people
Date: November 5th, 2018
Website: http://www.shtfplan.com/

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44 Comments...

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  1. Genius says:

    Hmmm, might be time to get out the rope and the truck hitch. Take some freaks out brush skiing!

    • Nailbanger says:

      Ya, feet first at about 70 mph through the desert

    • Eisenkreutz says:

      If we can’t even say we don’t want to live with non whites then what hope is there. I wipe my ass with the patriot movement. Fuck veterans day.

    • durangokidd says:

      “The United States is currently in a very precarious position.”

      This IS true,indeed the entire world is at a crossroads. Tomorrow will tell the tale. Will America become great again under President Trump with Republican majorities in both the House & Senate, or will liberal LEFTIST (read: MARXIST) forces make a political comeback ???

      Given the truly historic rate at which TRUMP has reversed NWO Policies and the extraordinary crowds at his rallies with lines around the block that rival those of Stars Wars; and the megear, paid for crowds for Democratic rallies; including those of BHO, I have to believe the TRUMP TRAIN is on track for a RED TSUNAMI tomorrow.

      We will know in less than 24 hours. 🙂

  2. rellik says:

    Legally I’m a veteran of the Vietnam war era.
    While the war was hot, I fixed B-52s armed with
    Nukes in North Dakota. There were two times I thought
    the world was going to end in a matter of minutes as
    Nukes armed on the ground, and un-announced operational
    readiness inspections were ordered.
    Warfare today is so much more deadly than it was in WW II.
    Russians can obliterate any invading army and the country that
    sent it, in a matter of minutes and hours. US can do the same
    and even more. China is just as dangerous, probably more so,
    as they think they can lose 7/8 of their population and still
    be viable as a society.
    Baring a dramatic technological breakthrough, war between advanced societies is obsolete. We just have to deal
    with medieval societies like Moslems and Africans.
    War is obsolete.

    • bb in GA says:

      There might be survivors, but no ‘winners’

      <bb

    • The Deplorable Renegade says:

      Rellik, so war is obsolete? I’d like to think so but tell that to the neocons, muslims, Russians, Chinese, etc. Their response would be interesting.

      • Heartless says:

        I learned from my son, a veteran now buried due to the Persian Gulf, what war is. Some survive. Some don’t. I’m sick of what we now call war. War is not a game of rules. No. It is one country vs. another. Man, woman, child. Bombs falling from the sky don’t discriminate or look for photo opportunities. They fall, they blow up, they kill all who happen to be where they land. And once the war is won, the victors rule. The losers …. have no rights. They lost. They own nothing. Just like life. You’re either alive or you’re not. Don’t give me grey zones. That’s a liberal fantasy. If war comes, I’m going to do my damnedest to win. Not just survive. I prefer victory. No matter the cost.

    • durangokidd says:

      There may not be any winners, but there will be a VICTOR and that VICTOR will the USA because we have much, much better technology than either the Chinese or Russians and we have the Grace of God moving in our lives.

      Read WASHINGTON’S VISION.

      America is here for a spiritual purpose and that purpose is for human souls to exercise their Free Will, manifest their God given talents, and express the divinity within them as Sons & Daughters of the Lord by worshipping HIM in Spirit & in Truth.

      Add to yourselves the fruit of the Spirit & the Gifts of the Spirit will follow, allowing you to both discern and express the love of the Lord within you; living in love & beauty & truth as intended by Nature’s God: the Creator. 🙂

    • kovran says:

      It is not necessary to its Charter in the foreign state to go otherwise it will end much worse than in Vietnam. Clinton – NATO bombing of Yugoslavia.

      Bush invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, air strikes inside Pakistan and Yemen.

      Obama used NATO to destroy Libya and sent mercenaries for the destruction of Syria.

      Trump attacked Syria becoming a war criminals at the beginning of the Board.

    • Sarcastic1 says:

      I wish this were true, but war is not obsolete. Obviously NUCLEAR war is unthinkable but conventional forces continue to be built up for a reason- to USE THEM. I think we could easily end up in a larger war, if not WW3 on a conventional basis.

      Fortunately, Russia is not much of a threat anymore conventionally, but China is another story, and with their new island bases we let them build they are well positioned to try and retake Taiwan. That’s a move that could end up in a big war right there. We shall see.

      I hope none of that happens but my gut tells me that all of us sitting fat and happy here in America will experience truly tough and dark days before too much longer. I just hope if it’s going to happen that it happens before I get too old to be able to deal with it!

  3. Jim in Va. says:

    I’m more concerned with those that live right here,next door maybe. when things stop working all bets are off…

    • durangokidd says:

      Make a list. Check it twice. Know who has been naughty and who has been nice, in your neck of the woods. This is an IMPORTANT prep when war between two civilizations break out.

      There are Patriots who monitor certain groups of radicals, and others, like Muslims whose Islamic faith is incompatible with American Constitutional Values.

      Know where the Mosques are located, particularly if you have one locally. Monitor them and the people who come & go there if there are Anti-American activities in your city.

      Islam is not a religion. It is a political movement as radical as any Marxist or Nazi movement. There are at least two radical Islamic mosques in Arizona for example, and they are under surveillance.

      In the Wild West, if push comes to shove, Sharia Law will meet Cowboy Justice. 🙂

    • Panther says:

      I once told my boss that I’d rather be back in the military fighting. He asked me why. I said “at least there, you know who your enemies are “. I’m speaking more to the point of how spiteful and vicious people in general are towards others nowadays. I try hard to keep to myself for that very reason. So much unnecessary drama and chaos goes on, I can’t understand how and why people do not see the good that can be had. Maybe it’s how I grew up. My stepdad was a wife beating child abusing drunk. I joined the military in the early 80’s, ended up in a SOCOM unit and deployed to 4 hostile fire regions in 4 years. I think my outlook has a lot to do with all that. I try to work hard and be as honest as I can but the most important thing is that I try to help people that I don’t have to, and not expect anything in return. I honestly help people cause I want to. I know what it’s like to HAVE to go without, what it’s like to have to survive. I don’t think most really understand that cause they never HAD to do it. I really do feel bad for people, not for their plight but for their ignorance.

      • So on Point Panther. I’m an old USAF SAR/SERE and for the last 10 -20 years have seen the ignorance of the masses first hand.
        God Have Mercy on Us All !

      • durangokidd says:

        Yes there is a lot of latent animosity out there, because Americans have been under a lot of stress for a very long time as a result of the impact of the NWO AGENDA that has put ILLEGALS FIRST and outsourced American factory jobs to China.

        But I have found that if you make an effort to be warm and kind to others first, they respond in kind quite quickly. Americans are by & large generous, kind and loving, but sometimes need YOU to communicate that first with an easy smile or a an old fashion “Hello” as you pass strangers on the street or coming in and out of buildings.

        Nothing is as disarming as an easy smile. Not even a Glock. 🙂

  4. We should have fought Russia when it was a Communist anti-Russian anti-Christian anti-white tyranny. When the New York Jews and the Jew Bankers, the Rothschilds and Jacob Schiff put Trotsky (Bronstein) on a train with money for war. We should of, could of hung them all and prevented the murder of tens of millions.

    _

  5. Old Guy says:

    I hope the Blue wave is not even a ripple in a small mud puddle. It will be very entertaining to see the Dimocraps reaction.

    • tuesdayissoylentgreen day says:

      Do not believe the media, they are playing the same card as in 2016. The red voters of 2016 are still voting red.

      • Anonymous says:

        Belief or unbelief is of no value to the truth.

        And we’ll know the truth in 24 hours, the country either supports Trump and his Rightist agenda or it doesn’t and supports the Leftist agenda instead.

        If the Leftists win both the House and Senate, it’s over for Trump and his agenda. He might as well resign for all he will accomplish from that point on, before he’s impeached and removed from office by them. If they win only the House he isn’t going to accomplish much either, particularly where immigration is concerned, so it’s almost as bad but he’ll probably remain in office.

        24 hours till we know the fate of the country.

    • Arby5 says:

      Democrats are like Ducks, you give them a quart of water and they splash and spread it around until it looks like a pond, when in reality there is really nothing to it but a lot of mud and muck !

  6. blinky says:

    Is Soros buying guns for those weenies? Revolution? Nah.

  7. Unbeliever says:

    What we need is a home grown homeless caravan, starting from San Fran and Los Angeles, gathering thousands of homeless disenfranchised Americans marching to Washington DC demanding to be allowed to live in all the politicians’ houses and sleep next to their children .. Without question as to their identity or motivations. Then the probability of awareness as to the insanity of the whole situation might possibly wake many people up.

  8. Rockies says:

    Please vote if you have not done so already. Pleased.

  9. Roger D says:

    “At any moment, I could go into the other room and press a button and 20 minutes later 60 million people would be dead”

    In your wildest dreams, did you ever think World War III might be started with a tweet?

    Melania Honey, where is my phone?

  10. Moses Strongbear says:

    MY friend in calif was out side and noticed jet fighters going over head going south. A total of 15 passed over head Air support for the border forces perhaps. Why would they need air support if the immigrants are only simple peasants pushing baby carriages 2,000 miles. Maybe the kid has a grenade in his diapers

  11. Captn.Jack says:

    Just listening to Infowars,I rebroadcast all their shows,”the War Room”has been talking about how the cheating has been going on all over the country.Owen Strouer was even at an Austin poling place where he witnessed cheating with his own eyes.He reported it to the election people in charge and they wanted to call the police on him,go figure.Tune in on Infowars.com they are broadcasting all night and into the day 0n the 7th.

  12. Karl V. says:

    I can go in the other room and push a button;
    and 20 minutes later, pizza will be ready to eat!

    I like my version better.

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