That a default in Europe is coming has never been the question. For the astute observer the only thing at issue is how and when it will happen. While the mainstream financial media and government officials have tried to spin this story as one that involves only Greek debt, the fact of the matter is that this isn’t isolated to a single country. Italy, Portugal, Ireland and most other European countries are in exactly the same boat.
Despite all of the propaganda and machinations from leading financial powers like the United States, Germany, and France, it’s should be clear that there is no viable solution to the debt debacle facing Europe. As such, we should understand that a situation similar to what led to the Great Depression of the 1930’s is now unfolding once again. The ability of entire nations to pay off their debt is now in question, and given the sheer size of the numbers we’re talking about, any reasonable person could agree that there is simply no plausible resolution that will make all parties whole again.
This has been playing out in Greece for nearly three years, and we may very well be just weeks away from the dreaded moment when it finally becomes official. An exclusive report detailing internal bank documents from two major Wall Street players says that we may have much less time than we think as insiders prepare for a financial doomsday next month:
Via The Slog:
A written document giving firm dates and detailed actions for a planned Greek default has been in the possession of two top Wall Street bank currency trading bosses since the second week in January. The Slog has separate but corroborative sources affirming the existence of the document, and a conviction among senior bank staff that – at least at the time – the plan represented “a timetable, not a contingency”. The plan gives a firm date of March 23rd for default to be announced after the close of business.
Senior bankers on Wall Street have been given detailed documentation setting out a timetable to Greek default, including firm dates and technical ‘orders’ about last use of the euro as a currency there. The revelation arrived at Slogger’s Roost last Monday, since when I have been trying to obtain corroboration. This arrived in the early hours of today (Thursday). One of the banks is Barclays Capital (Barcap) run by controversial figure Bob Diamond. The other must remain anonymous for the time being, in order to protect sources.
The document asserts that Greece will officially be declared in default by all the ratings agencies after the close of business on Friday march 23rd. At the weekend all Greek bank accounts will be frozen, with emergency measures detailed to prevent the flight of capital. Included in the paperwork is a list of very limited exceptions to the ‘no withdrawals’ order. All major banks ‘are instructed not to deal with euro exchange as of open of business in Greece on Monday 25th march. All Greek markets will close for one day ‘at least’.
As yet, I have been unable to establish the source of the documents. But one of my informants admitted, “I have strongly suggested to Greek business friends and clients that they sell up fast, do a sale and leaseback on property, empty bank accounts, and change to a hard currency.”
In testimony before Congress earlier this year Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke warned that a “disorderly” default would create a “huge amount of financial volatility globally that would have a very substantial impact not only on our financial system, but on our economy.” The aforementioned report indicates that Mr. Bernanke and his counterparts around the world are fully aware of how bad the situation in Europe really is, and they are trying to avoid a disorderly default through the implementation of an orderly contingency plan.
This report also indicates that key players and insiders know exactly what’s about to happen and they are unloading positions in financial instruments that stand to collapse once the Greek default is official, leaving the general public holding the bag.
Europe, as we suggested in Predictions of a Mad Tin Foiler, is going down, and once that happens the next phase of this crisis is going to take hold. We’ll likely see massive outflows of capital from Europe to the United States, which would have an almost immediate and adverse impact on dollar denominated assets including US stocks, commodities, and precious metals.
If and when this event happens – because dates set forth by the powers that be are always subject to change – it will be a tell-tale sign that a similar collapse in confidence of the US dollar and US debt instruments will soon follow.
While the sources for the above report are as of yet unconfirmed, and no copies of it have been made available, if true we will likely see bits and pieces emerge over coming weeks.
It is and has always been our intention to make our readers aware of developments that could negatively impact our physical and financial well being. As we’ve indicated previously, it is our belief that the first signs of any major man-made event will emerge in non-mainstream alternative news sources.
This may be one of those signs.
There have been false alarms in the past, and we won’t deny that this may be one of them. But we’re of the view that when a smoke alarm goes off, we evacuate first and substantiate it once we’re out of harm’s way. The alternative is that you end up trapped in a burning building.
Update Added February 16, 2012 @ 18:30: Related Stories
Will Greece Default On March 20? [Forbes]
Lehman Crisis Veterans Warn European Leaders Against Provoking Greek Default [Bloomberg]
Fitch Says Greece Will Default By March 20 Bond Payment [ZeroHedge]
Hat tip: The Slog, Market Ticker, Doc