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Are We Witnessing The Weirdest Moment In Economic History?

Brandon Smith
March 8th, 2017
Alt-Market.com
Comments (25)
Read by 5,191 people

This article was originally published by Brandon Smith of Alt-Market.com 

morsky-pillars

It is an unfortunate reality that most people tend to be oblivious to massive sea changes in geopolitics and economics. You would think that these events would catch the immediate attention of everyone as they happen, but usually it is not until they realize that the microcosm of their personal lives is subject to the consequences of the macrocosm that they wake up and take notice.

There are, however, ways to train yourself to pick up on signals within the news cycle and within political and financial rhetoric; signals that indicate a great shift is perhaps on the way. Sometimes these initial signs are subtle, sometimes they are as subtle as a feminist slut-walk. I would point out that over the next few months there are dangerous correlations so numerous and blatant in the economic sphere that I would almost rather watch a marching gaggle of frumpy feminists wearing nothing but electrical tape than bear witness to the mayhem that is about to strike the unwitting public.

What am I talking about? Well, let’s go through the list…

Federal Reserve Meeting March 14-15th

As my readers know well, I have been warning since before the election that the Fed would use a Trump presidency as an opportunity to pull the plug on near-zero interest rates and remove a primary pillar supporting stock markets — stock buybacks made possible by free overnight loans to numerous banks and corporations. Without QE and low interest rates the equities bubble will inevitably implode.

Corporate earnings certainly aren’t holding up stocks, neither is GDP or consumer spending. The Fed is the only determining factor of the ongoing bull market. Anyone who claims otherwise is probably a mainstream analyst or overzealous day trader with a vested interest in keeping the illusion going.

It is not surprising to me at all that the “rate hike odds” for March have been increased by mainstream analysts to 90% in the span of a week. I don’t know why anyone uses these arbitrary odds as an indicator of anything. I’ve been receiving emails all month asking me if I still believe the Fed will hike rates while the odds are “so low.” Look, the Fed does not make decisions at these meetings. They make decisions months in advance and the meetings are window dressing.

Too many people operate under the delusion that the central bank wants to continue propping up stocks, which is why they cannot grasp why the Fed would raise rates. In reality, the stage has been perfectly set to allow the bubble to implode. When the elites have a perfect scapegoat, they use it, and conservative movements represent that perfect scapegoat today.

The important thing to remember, though, is the timing of this particular meeting…

U.S. Debt-Ceiling Suspension Ends March 15th

So, in case you weren’t tracking the economic situation two years ago, the U.S. government almost went bust (in a sense) in 2015. The debt ceiling sets limits on how much the government can borrow to fund itself, and that limit was hit hard under the Obama administration after he managed to nearly double the national debt during his tenure. Congress passed legislation to allow borrowing to continue until March 2017, and of course, much of that capital was “borrowed” from the Federal Reserve, which, of course, creates it out of thin air. With the return of the debt ceiling, the question is — will Congress be able to extend and delay again? With Trump running on a platform of fiscal responsibility, CAN they extend again?  Do they even want to, or is this an engineered crisis event?

Once again, the timing of all this is a little odd. The Fed is raising rates into the first year of the Trump presidency leaving equities increasingly open to destabilization. In addition, the government might not be able to continue borrowing from them, or there will be a renewed extension but the costs of borrowing will run much higher. In either case, this month seems to pronounce the beginning of something; a considerable move away from the standard operating procedures that the elites have been using for the past several years. With such changes come consequences, always.

Formal Initiation Of Brexit On March 15th

The skeptics have been telling me for months that even though I was right about the Brexit vote victory the elites “would never allow” the British to leave the EU. Well, it doesn’t look that way to me so far. Theresa May plans to formally notify the EU of British exit on March 15th triggering two years of negotiations which will undoubtedly send economic shock waves throughout the globe on a regular basis.

Of course the Brexit will move forward! Why not? Globalists need a continuing atmosphere of crisis to distract the masses from their great global reset, and they need multiple scapegoats for the economic disaster that their reset will cause. Enter conservative movements in Europe; once again the perfect target to pin a crisis on.

French Elections Start April 23rd, End May 7th

Yet another election in which the EU hangs in the balance. Recent polls indicate that Marine Le Pen, the designated “populist” candidate, is falling behind. I have to ask, though, have we not learned our lesson yet on the meaninglessness of political polls? I think most of us have.

I believe Le Pen will be one of the final two candidates to move on to the election in May, and though I am not as certain as I was on Brexit and Trump, I am going to go ahead and predict a Le Pen win. If there is any sizable terrorist event in the next couple of months in the EU, or expanded Muslim riots, she is a guaranteed win. This brings up the very real prospect of a “Frexit” in the near future, and analysts should expect that a Le Pen win will be met with some panic in the financial world.

Potential Italian Election Move On April 30th

The Italian political process is a little confusing to me, but what I can tell you is that this spring or early summer you will probably be hearing a lot more about it. Former Italian prime minister and current Italian Democratic Party leader Matteo Renzi is set to decide on a the date for a leadership vote, which may come as early as April 30th. The outcome of this vote will likely decide how soon the next official Italian election will take place.

The election is required to be held before May 2018, but there is increasing pressure to hold elections in 2017, perhaps even this coming summer. I would not be at all shocked to see a surprise announcement of an early Italian election after the leadership vote is held.

Why should anyone care? The consensus is that Renzi’s party will be overrun by anti-EU factions and that this may result in a kind of “Italiexit.” The outcome of Italy’s series of votes and political restructuring will have wide reaching effects on the psychology of the markets for many months to come.

German Federal Election Held September 24th

Yes, even Germany is quaking this year in the wake of a potential “populist” tsunami. Angela Merkel is exceedingly unloved by her own people lately as her approval ratings collapse. Once-silent sovereignty champions in the country are becoming more and more vocal about Merkel’s rather insane open immigration policies which were the key element that drew millions of Muslims into the EU. It was the German government’s promise of endless entitlement programs that created the incentive for the mass migration in the first place, and now, finally, the German people are fed up with the complete lack of cultural assimilation and what many see as the destruction of western values.

I do not think that Germany will abandon the supranational concept of the EU regardless of the outcome of the election, but the removal of Merkel would signal a less agreeable Germany, which would exacerbate the already tottering European Union. Meaning more economic uncertainty in 2017.

If You Thought 2016 Was Weird…

If you thought 2016 was weird, I suggest you get comfortable with the surreal because it is not going away anytime soon. 2017 is a veritable treasure trove of falling elevators, and I haven’t even covered half of the issues facing the economy this year. But what about the macro-analysis?

To summarize, it seems to me that many of these events, stacked so closely together, are not coincidental in their timing. As I have noted in articles such as The Economic End Game Explained, globalists have been openly planning for decades to set in motion a vast financial overhaul and the launch of a single global economy and currency (the seeds being planted starting in 2018). If this is still their timeline, then it would follow that they would need a series of fiscal earthquakes designed to shake up the “old world order” to make way for a “new world order.”

Perhaps each of these events will result in a “stable” outcome and there is nothing to be concerned about. That said, I don’t believe in chance. Most geopolitical outcomes are influenced by internationalist players, which makes the outcomes of these events predictable. This is what made the Brexit predictable, and it is what made Trump’s victory predictable. Everything about the confluence of political and economic events in 2017 suggests to me a festering crisis atmosphere.

As I have always said, economic collapse is a process, not a singular moment in time. This process lulls the masses into complacency. You can show them warning sign after warning sign, but most of them have no concept of what a collapse is. They are waiting for a cinematic moment of revelation, a financial explosion, when really, the whole disaster is happening in slow motion right under their noses. Economies do not explode, they drown as the water rises one inch at a time.

If you would like to support the publishing of articles like the one you have just read, visit our donations page here.  We greatly appreciate your patronage. You can contact Brandon Smith at: brandon@alt-market.com

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Author: Brandon Smith
Views: Read by 5,191 people
Date: March 8th, 2017
Website: http://www.alt-market.com

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25 Comments...

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  1. John Stiner says:

    Without QE and low interest rates the equities bubble will inevitably implode.

    This is exactly right. Without free money this economy collapses.

    Right now the banks receive money at ZERO percent interest from the FED. Then they put it into the stock market and make tons in dividends.

    When the borrowed money all of a sudden starts charging interest, the free ride will be over.

    When it crashes. It will happen all in one day, not over several months.

  2. TEST says:

    “…Recent polls indicate that Marine Le Pen, the designated “populist” candidate, is falling behind…”

    Yep…. and polls published by CNN, ABC and NBC just reported yesterday, Mar. 7, that “Hilary has just surged to an 11 point lead over Trump.”

    Leftist media… excuse me while I hurl.

    Now, back to NY Slimes Pulitzer Prize winner Walter ” I don’t see no stinkin’ starving kulaks in Stalin’s Ukraine” Duranty, Lincoln “I have seen the future in Stalin’s USSR, and it works” Steffens to fake Nobel Prize winner Rigoberta Menchu, accidentally outed by another leftist, to NY Slimes wunderkind, fiction writer Jayson Blair, to Dan “I found a memo!” Rather, to Brian “I was fired on” Williams and let’s add in BIG GREEN MONEY fake global warming (yeah, this winter was warm in N. America… now go ask Europe how THEIR winter was. Don’t confuse short term weather with climate. There has been ZERO warming world wide since 1998)

  3. TEST says:

    … also, Brandon, I think it is too soon for the elite to pull the rug on the economy. Even the utterly unthinking “Yes we can/Yes we have no bananas” chanters might be blaming Obungler.

    But the argument for AU (gold) remains:

    “The illusion of freedom will continue as long as it’s profitable to continue the illusion. At the point where the illusion becomes too expensive to maintain, they will just take down the scenery, they will pull back the curtains, they will move the tables and chairs out of the way and you will see the brick wall at the back of the theater.”
    – The late Frank Zappa

    • Prepperplus says:

      The lefties will never blame Obunga, and they make up at least a third of the country. The banksters can pull the plug any time they want now with Trump at the helm.

  4. joeybagofdonutsandbagels says:

    Rumors circulating about the Fed injecting 1 Trillion in QE before 2017 is over. All thats
    going to do is prop up the stock market with more artificial money. Then when that wears
    off…….poof. Just add some more zeros to the national debt. Yeah, that’ll fix it.

  5. Plisken says:

    This guy really needs to get a life!

  6. Things are moving much faster now. Keep supplies with you where ever you go. Have a plan to regroup with your family if things break while everyone is out and about during the day. Stay alert.

    • PO'd Patriot says:

      Him, sound advise. I’ve been going over and through packs and supplies for pert near a week now. Need to freshen first aid supplies and pick up some additional Israeli bandages. Been awhile since I last went over things and checked on condition.

  7. Agent76 says:

    March 2, 2017 THE ILLUSION OF PROGRESS

    This is precisely what you’d expect of a self-serving elite that was desperate to cloak the unhappy reality that the relative few are benefiting immensely at the expense of the many.

    http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2017/03/the-illusion-of-progress.html

    • buttcrackofdoom says:

      actually, i see it the other way around….40% of the population doesn’t work, more than 50% of the population get some kind of support from gubmint every month. it seems to ME that the few(working, making a decent wage), are supporting the MANY(those either not working, or working low-income jobs).

  8. Faux liberté says:

    You know, we don’t prep out of concern for authoritative figures.

  9. Bill says:

    Many people posting on this site believe the economy crashes by one dramatic blow; this shows they really don’t know what they are talking about. Every time there is any kind of event you see lots of comments stating the collapse is happening now. They’re not grounded in reality, they see facts that don’t exist. Actually, they are just expressing a collapse because that’s what they fervently want to happen. They take every type of tiny shreds of bad news, weave it all together, and inevitably construe it to mean the economy is crashing. So here we see at least three things; ignorance, poor critical thinking (likely due to irrational desire and belief), and for the most part – a failed life.
    I’m not saying all is good by any means, but extraordinary claims of imminent collapse require extraordinary evidence, I haven’t seen it yet, all I’ve seen is people regurgitating what others are saying and then calling it proof. We have seen almost daily published gloom and doom stories for more than ten years. Stories of imminent mad max collapse, or from people who had “special inside knowledge”, or from some “scientist friend”, or their own ridiculous research even citing dates. Every bit of it was cited by someone before, only to see nothing happen. If one article is something bad, the next person will take and make it even more direr.
    By now we were supposed to have global famine, pole shifts, a new ice age, asteroids slamming the earth, Chinese army invasions, nuclear war, Ebola pandemics, and civil war to name a few.
    All of this has become occult-like; willing followers who believe anything that reinforces their belief. They see themselves are the only ones who are really aware, who are truly informed, that the greater masses don’t know or can’t see what is “really happening” but they do.

    • buttcrackofdoom says:

      troll

    • grandee says:

      By now we were supposed to have global famine, pole shifts, a new ice age, asteroids slamming the earth, Chinese army invasions, nuclear war, Ebola pandemics, and civil war to name a few.

      Yep, according to history over the past, say 250 yrs, any one of those things can happen at any time.

      Best be ready.

      Nobody like to be blindsided. 🙁

    • joeybagofdonutsandbagels says:

      Bill. The people making posts here are observing the trajectory. True, there is quite a bit of speculation. Definitely some crazy, padded cell kind of stuff. It’s a discussion forum. If you want to take it seriously, fine. If not, disregard. No one is twisting your arm here.
      Speaking of “failed life”, please tell us about yourself and how successful you are in life.

  10. Brian says:

    Imagine the Statue of Liberty in a sea of red ink and not in New York harbor. Where does the level of ink rest on the statue?

  11. But Bill…it’s all I got!!

    I just got out of rehab, my wife took the kids and left, I got fired today and my dog is hiding under the couch.

    Whadda ya mean a “failed life”? Pass me another cold one…

    Buuuuurrrrrrrrp…

  12. Tennessean says:

    I’ve yet to hear a single mention of the March 15th debt ceiling deadline in the fakestream mass media. I believe there is a massive effort in the fakestream mass media to ignore this deadline. In past years before a debt ceiling deadline event we heard oodles of politicians talking about the imminent crisis. This time, not a mention. Total mass media blackout on the debt deadline a mere 7 days away. This is beyond bizarre, very unusual, totally unprecedented. Which leads me to believe that Clif High’s web bot work predicting TSHTF mid March is right on.

    • joeybagofdonutsandbagels says:

      Don’t you worry my friend. The printing press is getting ready to make all of that monopoly
      money and the masses will be holding their hands out.

  13. Zeus says:

    Who the F*ck knows, PM’s are the redheaded step child getting beat up this last week. Silver is back down a dollar back to $17.21. Gold back to $1208. Everything is manipulated. Its all Fraud. Silver should be sitting at about $28 and Gold $1350. Maybe they are dropping the price so they can buy more physical before they let it shoot up like a rocket. Hang on to physical. This is another buying opportunity if you can. Hold at least 50% PM’s vs cash.

  14. whatnot says:

    Go stickman! No Charges from Cops!

 

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