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Oct
14

Gerald Celente Forecasts 2012: Where are the safe haven nations?

Author: Mac Slavo
                            Comments (57)

In the Fall 2009 Trends Journal, Gerald Celente spends some time discussing the state of nations around the globe circa 2012. And it’s not pretty, with only a handful of nations avoiding economic and social meltdown.

Flash Forward to 2012.

Despite differences between the 1930’s Great Depression and today’s “Greatest Depression,” unsettling similarities conjure up memories of pre-World War II. From the United Kingdom to Russia, war drums eerily beat.

China, Vietnam, Indonesia, Singapore — all countries that ramped up production to meet insatiable business and consumer demands of the prior decade — fight for survival.

Japan, Taiwan and South Korea, long industrialized and export driven, blame China for their mounting trade imbalances, internal strife and Southeast Asian instability.

Mexico, once the US resort/retirement retreat, is as dangerous as the Congo, and its government — what’s left of it — is equally ruthless.

Across much of South America, depression, coups and wars prevail; few nations have been spared.

Oil-rich nations, having sunk trillions and lost trillions in high stakes investments, are trying to cope with internal rebellion and decreased demand for their only cash crop.

India’s miracle economy has run out of miracle, pushing it back into Third World conditions. Incessant flare-ups with Pakistan carry nuclear implications.

Canada, Australia and New Zealand are not in great shape, but compared to most other nations, they seem like paradise.

For those considering bugging out before SHTF, your choices seem to be somewhat limited. Before making an significant changes in your life, such as moving your family to another country, think about the economic, social and political stability in your destination country.

One other consideration: In the event of a complete meltdown of the global economic systems, immigrating to a new country will be quite difficult, if not impossible. Protectionist measures will certainly be in place, as no country will want to take away jobs from their citizens to give to immigrants. Therefore, if you plan on leaving your home country, it is recommended that your plans are in place and executed before a meltdown in your home country occurs.

Related forecasts from Gerald Celente:

Gerald Celente: It’s more than just the demise of the dollar. This is going to be felt worldwide (October 2009)

Gerald Celente: This is Big. We Can Even See the Breakup of America Like The Soviet Union.

Author: Mac Slavo
Date: October 14th, 2009
Visit the Author's Website: http://www.SHTFplan.com/

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57 Responses to “Gerald Celente Forecasts 2012: Where are the safe haven nations?”

  1. Bama Blue
    October 14th, 2009 at 9:44 am

    This is a question that I have been wanting to know. 

    What will be the safest countries to move a family to when SHTF?

    I know that one single country may not be the correct answer, because of peoples different circumstances.  But I am sure that we could all agree on a Top 5 List.  Where will the smart Americans go to live and eventually re-group?  Where is all the smart money going?

  2. Lisa Bedford
    October 14th, 2009 at 11:21 am

    I actually checked into the immigration requirements for a few countries a while back, and it’s not as easy as one might think to just pack up and become an ex-pat.  For example, New Zealand has requirements regarding age and financial stability.  I even looked into Switzerland’s requirements, and you can pretty much forget about it unless you’re a millionaire or an EU citizen.  Who would have thought there would be a time when patriotic, hard working Americans would give serious thought to immigrating to another country?

    Lisa
    thesurvivalmom.com

  3. ovals
    October 14th, 2009 at 11:47 am

    Lisa, great comment. Immigration requirements are definitely strict insofar as financial stability is concerned. This is probably the single biggest factor for immigrants to “rich” safehaven countries. No country wants an immigrant who is not financially stable, or will take a job from their own citizens (except the US, of course :) ).

    Here is a Top 5 list, in my personal opinion (in no particular order):

    New Zealand
    Australia
    Canada
    Brazil
    Costa Rica

    The first three because it would be much easier to blend in. Canada is great because of the proximity to the US, for those with family here.

    Brazil, NZ, Australia because they should benefit from the Asian bull market resulting from resource exports (oil, agriculture, mining).

    Costa Rica because it’s quite cheap to buy land and cost of living.
    There are other countries out there, of course. This is just a list off the top of my head.

    You’ll notice I didn’t mention Asian countries — not because they are not safehavens (Thailand, Singapore) but because I am not a big fan of living in Asia.

    Here is an excellent resource site to look at: http://www.internationalliving.com/

    Their reports are comprehensive and well worth the money.

  4. Bama Blue
    October 14th, 2009 at 1:56 pm

    I agree.  I like NZ, Australia and Canada for the same reasons mentioned.  And Brazil for all the natural resources and strong currency.  I really like Costa Rica because it has the reputaton of being an independent country and expat friendly.  There is also Panama that has popped-up on the expat radar over the last several years.

    In your opinion, when SHTF, how will these countries be effected?  Are there other places that people are looking at (ie. Bahamas, US Virgin islands, Argentina, Panama and etc.)?

    Just trying to get as much info as possible. 

    Thanks

  5. ovals
    October 14th, 2009 at 7:54 pm

    I think Panama may be ok too. Overall I have a problem with South America and Central America just because of the historic instability of those regions. But, it looks like Brazil, and even Argentina are trying to pull it together over there.

    I do think people are also looking at the Bahamas, Cayman and other islands, but immigration requirements there include financial stability requirements or domestic investment, I believe. So for middle class individuals without a lot of money in savings, those will be difficult.

    In response to what will happen in the countries listed in my Top 5, I admit that I don’t know!

    They seem to be pretty solid, but the fact is, even Canada, Australia and NZ seem as if they lean a little to the left. But, not as far left as the US is headed, at least for now.

    If China collapses for a bit, then even NZ and Australia are going to be hurting, as well as Brazil. I think that it will be difficult to escape the pain, especially for anyone in the middle class. If you’re rich, you’re probably good to go anywhere.

    The rule of law is the important factor here, and I believe this is why capital will concentrate outside of the USA in coming years. Foreigners are losing trust in the laws that made this country great. Look what happened to the Chrysler bond holders. This should be a major red flag for anyone concerned about the rule of law. The bond holders were overidden by a judge’s order and what they thought was protected by law… wasn’t! All because one person’s interpretation (of course there is probably a massive conspiracy behind all of this). But, it goes to show that nothing, not even the rule of law, is sacred in this country anymore. It is was the very foundation of the USA. 

    The government is coming after personal wealth, and they will stop at nothing to get it. This is, I believe, why there are many individuals looking at leaving for now.

    It seems that at least in the aforementioned countries, some semblence of the rule of law still exisits, plus they seem to be politically stable. These, IMHO, are the most important things to look at. As mentioned, the economic situation globally is going to hurt, probably. So, taking that out of consideration, the rule of law seems to be the big factor.

    Any thoughts are appreciated. I am still trying to sort all of this out myself.

  6. Livingstrong
    October 15th, 2009 at 12:57 am

    I admire Gerald Celente, but lately he’s going out of his mind! What is the matter with him? Saying that “Mexico, once the US resort/retirement retreat, is as dangerous as the Congo…” is an atrocious lie and complete ignorance on his part.
    Seriously, is he losing his mind?!
    Mexico IS NOT that dangerous. I bet he has never traveled to Mexico. I live and work in Mexico and the US loves to make look Mexico like a very dangerous place so the US citizens don’t come here to spend the little money they have left! PROTECTIONISM.
    And the worst thing of all, is that Gerald Celente is falling into the same trap and lies of HIS GOVERNMENT.
    That is really sad and pathetic that someone, I thought to be smart, would say something so ignorant about Mexico.
    I used to admire him and believe him. Now I doubt him.  Gerald Celente just lost credibility and my respect as a trend specialist.
    Sincerely,
    Dr. Martha Castro, MD

  7. Christine
    October 15th, 2009 at 1:41 am

    Comments…..
    As an expat for the last 20 years I would like to add my two cents, (backed by gold of course!).
    1.  The idea of living on an island might seem heavenly now, but there are dangers.  I lived on an island for 5 years in the Indian Ocean.  During  WWII( the oldtimers say)  the island was forgotten by the rest of the world and supplies were either very slow in coming or just didn’t come.  Cases of malnutrition and extreme hunger and in some cases starvation happened.  On an island you may keep danger at bay, but you also keep help at bay.  Obviously NZ, even though an island, wouldn’t be included in this example.  The Caymans would be though.
    2.  When the going gets tough, people help their own.  If you are an immigrant in another country, trying to communicate in a language you’re not too familiar with, you will probably be the last person on the list of people to help.  How many immigrants in the US have you helped today, this week, this month?  We, people, humans, we are just like that.    Immigrating to a foreign country puts you in a position of weakness.  I speak from personal experience and the experience of family members who are immigrants to the US.
    3. Strengthen the community that you live in.  If  your town is “too big” find a smaller/safer one and move.  Get to know your neighbors and develope your talents.
    Everyone will have the same problems when the SHTF, no matter where they live.  If we base our assumptions on Celente’s forecasts, it will be global and we won’t be able to out run them.  We are better off preparing for the basics and making sure family and friends are safe and nearby.

  8. Mac Slavo
    October 15th, 2009 at 6:34 am

    Dr. Castro, please note that Mr. Celente’s forecasts are written with a twist. You must flash forward to 2012 while reading. He is not suggesting that Mexico (or the other countries) are in this state right now. His vantage point is 2012, so imagine you are in 2012 reading an overview of what has happened.

    Mac

  9. Mac Slavo
    October 15th, 2009 at 6:35 am

    Christine, all very very good points.

  10. Bob Ketchen
    October 15th, 2009 at 7:03 am

    Dr. Castro , With all due respect sir , while on vacation in Mexico a good friend and his dad were pulled over by a police man and told give me all your money or go to jail . Thay had done nothing wrong but got robbed by a cop !!!  Mexico has laws that are very unfriendly to ex pats , NO ACCESS to the court system if you are wronged there you cannot sue , IF the gov’t wants to thay can come in and consficate the property you have purchased !!!  again… NO RECOURSE you can’t fight it .  Most folks will not speak english, even if thay know it  its spanish ONLY .  And finaly the drug lords RULE , thay have the true power there so do not get in the way or you pay with your life . MEXICO ? NO THANKS .  I will stay here and find a quiet piece of ground out in the country side .  Not one other country measures up to this one , even with all of its faults and wackos who rule here !!

  11. ovals
    October 15th, 2009 at 7:45 am

    Bob, I think you make a very good point. With all the problems we have here in the US, there is a much more serious issue in other countries, and odds are they will deteriorate much faster. For those in the middle class, your “bug-out” plan seems like the only way to go. Get out of the cities, especially if you are close to Mexico, and get prepped for whatever may be around the corner. Immigrating to another country is simply no realistic if one does not have the money to make the move.

    Again, it seems to me that the key factor at play is the rule of law. When this is gone, you should be too. Mexico is a disaster and has even less respect for the rule of law than the US.

    Celente is right, Mexico will be the Congo a few years from now. It is a totally corrupt state and is getting worse. What worries me is the flow of crime from Mexico across US borders into states like Texas, New Mexico and Arizona.

  12. AlaBill
    October 17th, 2009 at 8:40 am

    Australia for me is a top destination due to the fact that I expect it’s currency to be strong and get stronger due to it’s natural resource base.

    At this time I would much prefer to own Australian dollars than American. Property values are however extremely high is desirable areas around Sydney and Melbourne.

    I have not yet looked it Australian immigration requirements for Americans.

  13. Mac Slavo
    October 17th, 2009 at 10:37 am

    Australia is cool, I think. They will benefit from Asia capital concentration and growth.

    I can’t find the link, but there was an excellent interview about 3 - 4 months back regarding the Australian real estate market and how it may also get slammed down in the near future. If one were to expatriate to Australia in the near future, perhaps renting would be a good option until one gets a sense of where the real estate is heading.

  14. Russ
    October 19th, 2009 at 8:10 am

    You do not mention the possibility that an American state will secede and could become a Safe Haven Nation. Any comment?

  15. Mac Slavo
    October 19th, 2009 at 8:41 am

    Russ,

    While I do not necessarily support secession by an state in the union because I don’t think it has come to that, it is a very interesting consideration indeed.

    I guess it would all depend on the stability of the new nation. Would a peaceful secession ever be allowed? I find it difficult to believe that there would not be violence (on both sides). Even if an entire State congressional body were to unanimously vote for secession there would inevitably be conflict with the Federal government.

  16. Sam
    October 19th, 2009 at 2:13 pm

    One little problem with Australia: water.  It’s basically a huge desert with a livable coastline–and not all of that, unless you like the natural environment and climate of N. Queensland, which is like the Solomon Islands and New Guinea.

    As for Mexico, it will depend on the area. I live in Mexico. It is certainly a highly corrupt country–but then, so is the US; it’s just that in the US it is more institutionalized, as witness Wall St. - Gov’t collusion.  Yes, Mexican cops like to get a little spare cash from Gringos–big deal.  The real problem, in the long run, is the drug trade overwhelming state governments. But Mexicans are very live and let live in many respects, whereas the government is almost always worse.  When the going gets very tough, human beings are capable of the worst savagery.  The only solution is civic association–and admittedly, this is a Latin weak point.  They only care about family, and civic virtues and values are decidedly in second place.

  17. jonathan brouder
    October 20th, 2009 at 1:52 am

    I think the number one country will be Norway, because of its financial, social stability as well as it proven oil reserves, sweden, finland ireland switzerland austria, austalia canada and new zealand, are also the only sustainable countries left in the world, any one of which to me is desireable, iceland and ireland are  two wild cards because of financial  debt, which in my opinion will be wiped clean when the anglo american banking empire collapses,  Canada is a wild card because of its proximity to the US which will be ground zero of this apacolyptic scenario, and will be unable to control it border, after these countries, argentina, chile, brazil, would be next, these countries are not overpopulated and have valuable resources, worst countries would be US number one, folllowed by Isreal, which is basically a vassel state of the US empire and is recieveing 23,000 in subsidies per person and still can’t manage to keep a decent economy going,  plus is hated around the world even more then america, after that, china india, subsahran africa are all doomed to overpopulation and chaotic civil wars

  18. Mac Slavo
    October 20th, 2009 at 8:36 am

    great stuff Jonathan!

  19. jonathan brouder
    October 20th, 2009 at 12:34 pm

    I forgot about denmark and belgium which are also on the list of sustainable places, denmark get about 40 percent of its power from wind, wind and wave power if properly inplemented can be a boon to these countries although they will still need some natural gas or oil to supplement certain areas especially in transportation, plastics,  mining and refining, ireland is situated in an area which has some of the greatest wind and wave potential in the world, it could theoretically be the wave/wind saudiarabia of europe, but his would take massive infrastructure investment which could be problematic after the banking system collapses, perhaps these countries could form a new union, union of sustainable states and cooperate with each other in order to preserve their culture people and standard of living

  20. TIllamook
    October 21st, 2009 at 10:42 pm

    Without a doubt, Norway is the first choice. They have natural resources, political stability, and they are NOT an EU member.  They require you to learn the language and live there for several years before you get citizenship, though. 

  21. jonathan brouder
    October 22nd, 2009 at 4:16 pm

    I just got my irish passport which means i can go anywhere in the EU, and I urge anyone of the swiss norwegian,irish, australian,danish, flemish, australian, new zealander,austrian,finnish, or swedish diaspora to get citizenship there now and constantly look at airlione prices from your respected residances, also go to MIdas resources or another gold and silver dealer and buy gold and silver and transported their ahead of you, my family just recently bought a house in Ireland, and is fixing it up as I write this, although ireland is no norway, it still had good farmland stable climate homegnous population and can support at least 8 million people with out artificial fertilizer, which is what it was in 1844 before the famine plus they are finding new natural gas reserves their everyday, which is the main ingrediant in artificial fertilizer, it also has the potential for wind and wave power,

  22. Jim
    October 23rd, 2009 at 8:17 pm

    Norway is cold.  And cloudy. Norwegians like to go to Greece and Spain and Italy, and with good reason.  Ditto for the rest of Northern Europe.  The only time to visit Norway–or Sweden or Finland or Denmark or Belgium or Ireland–is the summer (and a very short summer it is).  But, to each his own. 

  23. Jim
    October 23rd, 2009 at 8:19 pm

    As for Canada–it’s not for nothing that droves of them flee the country for six months of the year.   And their political systems is as close to verging on totalitarianism as is the US. 

  24. jonathan brouder
    October 24th, 2009 at 12:24 pm

    jim you are completely missing the point im talking survival your talking where the best place to vacation is, when airline tickets to greece for one are 20 thousand dollars a piece, bread is 200 dollars a loaf, your not gonna be worried about sunshine

  25. Jim
    October 24th, 2009 at 7:24 pm

    Actually, my point is just that I wouldn’t care to live where it’s cold–even lots of Norwegians don’t like to live in Norway, and like to leave as often as they can afford it.  So if I am going to choose where to “survive,” it sure as heck isn’t going to be where I could freeze to death, or where I need  a lot of liquor to fend off the winter SAD.  And my second point is that I would bet you that there are plenty of people who share my viewpoint.  But, like I said, to each his own.  With a little intelligence and adaptability, one can make a good life in lots of places–people did that for thousands of years.  Modern Westerners are individualists, whereas the key is the neighbor, the community.

    By the way, the Canadians in Mexico are not there to vacation.  They are there to escape the Canadian winter.  They’ve bought homes here.  The only reason they return to Canada for 6 months is to be eligible for their health benefits–and to see family, of course.

  26. Sam
    October 26th, 2009 at 1:01 am

    I sympathize with Dr. Castro’s point of view.  I live in Mexico–14 years.  There is zero danger from drug violence.  The violence affects other drug traffickers as well as certain public officials who “get in the way.”  Is it being handled?  You bet.  Don’t forget, there was a time when gangsters literally controlled Chicago, and came close to controlling Washington.  They were eventually exterminated.  It will happen.  It just takes time. Don’t be fooled by sensationalist media and idiotic talking heads.  You’re a hell of a lot safer here than in most US places, believe me.  Let me ask you a question. Would you let your 8 year old daughter walk home with her little friends alone without adults, or get on a city bus alone to go to school in the US?  Well, it’s a commonplace here.  Are there exceptions?  Of course:  Mexico City, border cities, and few others.  On the whole it is a very safe place to live.  The people are warm and super hospitable on the whole. Celente may be very good in some areas, but he is not a divinity.  To see Mexico as the Congo in 3 years is–shall we say, selective choosing of facts.

  27. Jonathan Brouder
    October 26th, 2009 at 2:41 am

    After the collapse of the USA there will be at least 40 million refugees streaming into mexico at once, and if you think the natives of mexico will be welcoming of you and care if you like warm weather you are delusional, that country has been exporting its problems to the US for the past thirty years namely its vast unemployed un educated peasnt mestizo masses which are all goona be foreced to return home when their is no food jobs or shelter in the US  and these people which chop your head off as to look at you, thier is gonna be a viruntley racist aztlan la raza communist movemant in mexico which will target the gringo masses attempting to sneak across their border, if you think it wil b etter their your as good s dead, their is going to be famine, water shortages and a complete breakdown of society in the continant we call north america, your better of going to Australia or brazil f youlikearm weather

  28. Jonathan Brouder
    October 26th, 2009 at 2:59 am

    peter schiff alex jones celente, this russian guy panarin, andothers are comparing the collapse of america to russia or argentina, or the british or roman empires, i beleve that the country we should be comparing us to is the breakup of Yugoslavia in the early 90’s, it was a countyr of varios ethinic groups who had historic animosities toward each other from past atrocites etc that we united under a economic system called communism, this system kept the people from killing each other because it gave people hope and food and shelter as well as stability. as soon as the system collapsed starting with hyperinflation you had chaos civil war and genocide and the same thing will happen here we are no differant than anyone else,
    land in montana, north south dakota, wisconsin kansas, idaho  and other midwestern staes will go from having the least valuable land to havign the most valuable land as that is where most of the remaining farm land will be, you are starting to see it now, if you chck out inflation.us onyoutube their is a short show on idaho and how people are fleeing california for it

  29. Sam
    October 27th, 2009 at 5:27 pm

    Re: After the collapse of the USA there will be at least 40 million refugees streaming into mexico at once

    Please post your email.  Seers who can predict with this kind of accuracy are rare. 
    ——————————————————-

  30. Jonathan Brouder
    October 28th, 2009 at 1:54 am

    kerryman86@aol.com, I appreciate your eye for talent sam

  31. Bama Blue
    October 28th, 2009 at 9:55 am

    How do you feel about Central America (namely Costa Rica and Panama)?  These are two countries that we have been looking at.

    Thanks,

  32. Sam
    October 28th, 2009 at 11:18 pm

    The last time I was in Cost Rica was over 10 years ago. Everything I know since then is from friends and reading forums and such.  Doug Casey says it’s gotten relatively expensive.  Coastal land tends to get pricey, and you have to reckon with the downsides of the humid tropics–it’s one thing to live and another to vacation.  As for Panama, my knowledge is entirely bookish, so I won’t say anything, since you can read the same material I do.

    I think the number one rule is: rent at least for 6 months, and be prepared to keep renting until you find your spot.  And you may find renting is the way to go–you keep your capital, and can invest it in other ways: apartments,  gold, farmland, whatever. And you can leave in a moment.

    The least expensive tropical coastal land in Latin America right now is probably Ecuador, followed by Nicaragua. Once you get away from the Mexican tourist areas, you really you should know some Spanish or have great contacts. If you want cooler winter weather and warm humid summers, the least expensive would probably be Uruguay–but it’s far from relatives, if that’s important to you.  For inland living, Argentina is very attractive. 

    Google these countries and add + forums, + blog.  Look at Expat World.   Try to establish some communication and get first-hand information.  Even then, opinions will vary.  Realtor sites require large doses of salt.

  33. judy miller
    December 29th, 2009 at 11:38 pm

    …anywhere there are nuke energy plants , and/or nuke bombs stored are not going to be safe to live in if extreme lawlessness or cataclysmic events like earthquakes and volcanos occur - as some scientists have predicted for 2012.

  34. KPN
    February 10th, 2010 at 11:57 am

    Hi Everyone,

    I’ve read many of the posts here and I don’t think I’ve seen one person use the correct term when referring to themselves leaving their home country to go to another.  It’s EMMIGRATING guys, not “immigrating”!

  35. Khalilah
    February 13th, 2010 at 6:14 am

    I live in Japan but I am from the USA….specifically Alabama.   I have lived here for over five years so I know a bit of the language and I have many friends here.  I have constantly been searching for Japan’s position in the economic downturn.  Japan does have problems in the economy but it is better than in the usa.  What worries me is the amount of reliance economically the Japanese people have on the USA.  I feel like Japan is pretty safe for now and if something happens, I have a house with a patch of farmland in the north of Japan that I can always go to.

  36. Olga
    February 18th, 2010 at 2:41 am

    It’s scarry, but it’s happening! The taxes are being raised - extra tax if you are aerning over $250K… my family member is being pushed out of the construction business because he is not “big enough”, so the state & city laws are killing him with “necessary”paperwork that he can’t have by defenition! It all adds up! Also, if the shit hits the fan, there are so namy nations and races in this cocuntry, especially in big cties. I can only imagine what will happen in NYC on day one! It will be  a major racial war! People will probably start killing… I’m seriously thinking of Argentina. The countyr is relatively stable (compared to other SA countries), people are cultured for the most part, and it’s very cheap to live. I wanted to move 2 years ago, but got caught u with the money… don’t know how safe it is gona be though… at least they have a lot of natural resuouses, land to farm, and a nice climate. Any thoughts on that? Thanks!

  37. Kerrie
    March 6th, 2010 at 2:05 am

    I fail to see how moving to a different country will help when the whole world will be affected, wouldn’t we be better off in the country we are most familiar with…our own country!
    I think people (including Gerald Celente) are looking at some countries with rose coloured glasses. Australia wasn’t excluded from suffering in the last depression and nor will we be this time around.
    Australia’s immigration requirements are very tough in order to keep people out and I really don’t think a mass arrival of Americans would be any more welcome here than anywhere else.
    Real Estate is in a huge bubble here and ready to burst…as it is in many other countries and our economy was only saved by government stimulus that will like elsewhere come back to bite us all on the butt.
    I don’t plan on leaving my country and I don’t really want a pile of foreigners arriving on our shores to make it even tougher.
    Australia only has 20 million people in a land area not much smaller than USA but our land can only support a small population, so whilst it may seem very spacious, most of it cannot support life and I have no intention of living in the dessert to make room for foreigners.
    Utopia doesn’t really exist….make the most of where you are!

  38. zukadu
    March 6th, 2010 at 4:09 am

    Don’t worry Kerrie! We Americans will not  invade Australia! (Its New Zealand we want!)   :-)

  39. zukadu
    March 6th, 2010 at 4:42 am

    Khalilah:    Noticed that you live in Japan. Would like to recommend “Earth Changes” by Edgar Cayce from A.R.E. 
    More than 70 years ago, he predicted the rise of China and the destruction of Japan by physical forces: i.e. earth changes, saying, “The greater portion of Japan must go into the sea”.

    Recent events seem to indicate that the Ring of Fire is starting to fire up ….. Maybe you should come home.

  40. james cairn
    March 11th, 2010 at 4:22 pm

    I am a New Zealander currently living in the UK. So it is very interesting reading some of the comments from other users about NZ. One common misconception about NZ is that it is a resource rich country - it is not especially so in my opinion. Yes, there is plenty of green grass, but not a great deal of too much else that has been discovered anyhow. There is only very small scale production of oil and gas, certainly not enough for the countries energy needs. Very little in the way of mining.

    The best things going for NZ in my opinion are: 1) 4 million population - low. No overcrowding and plenty of food to go around. 2) English speaking with rule of law. 3) Temperate climate with a number of micro climate areas to choose from. 4) NZ has no real enemies in the world. 5) Most electricity comes from renewable hydro. 6) Potential for some resource finds, eg offshore oil and gas, but like I say, if it’s there in significant quantities, it hasn’t been found yet. 7) NZ ‘owns’ a decent chunk of Antartica, so in the very long run, there could be resources to be had down there.

    Things against NZ: 1) Still stubbornly near the peak of a huge economy-sapping property bubble. Private indebtedness to offshore banks is very high. 2) Persistent inflation, underreported by the authorities. 3) Small economy means highly specialised individuals will struggle to find work. 4) Internet infrastructure poor. eg, unlimited broadband packages are not available at any price. 5) NZ has virtually no military. If it is ever invaded by an external force, it’s toast unless Australia or USA comes to the rescue. 6) Very few if any listed companies to invest in with durable competitive advantages. Investment options in NZ are very limited.

    That’s my 5 cents worth.

  41. Kathy
    March 16th, 2010 at 2:14 am

    My city has already gone Chinese.  I expect the surrounding area will go Chinese within a few years.  They are into politics, and I find they are pretty fair-minded and reasonable.  Also, they make nice quiet neighbors.   If this is how it has to be, all I can say is:  So far, so good.

  42. Kerrie
    March 16th, 2010 at 5:56 am

    That was a good laugh James :-)

    But don’t forget about the sheep that eat your green grass.

    Hmmmm…Now I guess if people really want to come to Australia they could spend their time on Christmas Island in the detention centre.

  43. mkarthy
    March 21st, 2010 at 3:29 pm

    What about the EU countries? Has Celente anything to say about those? I live in Finland right now.

  44. Mac Slavo
    March 21st, 2010 at 4:30 pm

    well, he recently said “getting out of the dollar and going to the Euro is like going from the Titanic to the Lusitania for safety”. (paraphrased). I believe it was from this interview.

    My personal view is that the Euro and the EU as we know it will fall apart over the course of the next decade. It’s a disaster waiting to happen.

  45. mkarthy
    April 6th, 2010 at 7:39 am

    Well it all depends what one understands by “falling apart”. If you mean that countries will go back to what they were prior to the EU, especially the most recent ones, that doesn’t necessarily imply a major catastrophe. As far as the euro is concerned I tend to share your opinion.

    Would it be possible for you to share more of that small part of the trends journal of fall 2009 if there are more references to other countries than those already mentioned? If the trends research institute doesn’t mind of course.

    I was wondering what he means exactly by ” war drums eerily beat” from the UK to Russia. Is it that Europe will be at war within it’s own territory or that the whole world will be engaging in wars all over the place?

    What my real question I suppose is that are the only places you’re likely to survive in the next few years  NZ, Australia or Canada or if you still have a little chance in the yet peaceful, scarcily populated, agricultural, Russian neighbouring, eurozone Finland?

    Cheers

  46. Dario
    April 12th, 2010 at 11:48 pm

    Comments…..Im just wondering what the affects would be in New Zealand after the events which we have on the way? Would New zealand go under sea level and  fully be covered in water im not to worried about the whole economical side of things at this point.  I just want to know if im safe where i am in my country thank you and please post comments or advice

  47. Kerrie
    April 20th, 2010 at 5:24 am

    Hey Dario, I don’t think there are too many people that still believe the whole climate change islands are going to be covered in sea water theory anymore…it has more holes in it than swiss cheese. They were just trying to steal money from the masses with yet another scare tactic!

  48. debbie
    May 5th, 2010 at 5:10 pm

    i live in australia and while we have been told that we are in the best shape of all countries, i dont think this is any longer the case. our government went crazy and spent all our money then got us 40 billion into debt within 12 months. what do you see for our future.

  49. zukadu
    May 5th, 2010 at 6:44 pm

    Taxes, Debbie.  Higher taxes that will kill the golden goose. The golden goose being the miners in Western Australia who are generating real wealth, GDP, and jobs. Look for a contraction in the Australian economy by the end of the year 2010. Demand from China may slow as they try to rein in a runaway economy. 

    Changes are coming everywhere and to everyone in every country. As the economy is global in scope, financial problems in one country will affect others. Many think the Euro will fail because of the PIGS. I say, that regardless of how it plays out, the EU will emerge stronger and more cohesive with a stronger more centralized government. That is bible prohecy unfolding before our eyes. It will make for a stronger Euro. The Euro may have reached a low against the dollar. If it hasn’t yet, it will by June.

    Events in America towards the end of May 2010 will have consequences for American financial stability and place constraints on the projection of American power. That creates ramifications for the global community and political instability.

    Nature loves a vaccum.
     

  50. Dwelluponit
    May 6th, 2010 at 9:18 pm

    Thing about New Zealand, we produce more food than we can eat, and water to excess. We could export water to Australia.  And we are at the bottom of the world. Lots of coal and gas

  51. zukadu
    May 7th, 2010 at 4:22 pm

    “Bottom of the world”? Just remember shit rolls downhill!

  52. Jonny V
    May 7th, 2010 at 7:24 pm

    Z!, you have NO IDEA how it warms my heart to see that you’re holding down the villagers while I’m gone :)!

  53. zukadu
    May 7th, 2010 at 10:16 pm

    Aw shucks, Jonny V, t’weren’t nothing! You must have been reading those immigration logs again. They will give you high blood pressure for sure! I mean hey! Last year Phoenix St Mary’s Food Bank gave away 1,000,000 (one million) diapers. New American patriots all, I’m sure!

    If you don’t even have to pay for diapers when your kids take a shit, you might as well have all the kids you want. Some idiot will pay for them. But not thiis one!

  54. Dwelluponit
    May 10th, 2010 at 1:54 pm

    yes Zukadu, you have fallen into that common northern hemisphere delusion ;-) Gas rises and where is the largest hole in the Ozone layer? So given some twit initially thought north was up, a whole heap of sheep and lemmings followed that opinion. So really, given we are sitting on top of the world, our only real problem up here is all of the hot air coming from the other hemisphere. AND ps…. dont come here to NZ unless you can actually work, if the world economy goes to hell in a hand cart being rich and sitting on your arse will only get you skinny.  

  55. zukadu
    May 10th, 2010 at 4:41 pm

    Dwelluponit: Fair enough my down under friend! But I really would like to visit some day! :-)

  56. s .k.leef
    August 7th, 2010 at 4:39 am

    new zealand rocks the answers we are all looking for are in the stars,no im not crazy,we also need to rely on our own skills,learning to grow our own and be sustainable teach our own survil skills,making money will be of no use when the time comes,water and food is what we will need when the time comes not money or worring about taxes.Learn to love one another and be prepered

  57. mike smith
    August 18th, 2010 at 2:33 am

    Hiya,
    I live in New Zealand and heard the diferent rumours of which our country mightn’t with stand such an event of 2012, if thats the case is it possible to have a safe area to be when this change happens?…i live in the central north island of New Zealand.

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